The bookie’s team: Game Week 6 #FPL

Hi everyone, this is a weekly blog post where we document changes to our team based on bookie’s odds. Having done this last season we’d like to think we’ve learned from our mistakes and aim to finish higher than our top 7% finish. This is not a wildcard XI or a team of the best possible players, this is an actual team which we have had since GW1 and have made changes to throughout the season. With the introduction and warning away, no to introduce to you the bookie’s team for Game Week 6. This post will review our changes and reason as to why we brought them in.

Currently, we’re 403,607th in the world and aim to be in the top 1% by the end of the season. All with the help of the bookies. To view the team, click on the following link: OddsonFPLTeam

To join our league use the following code: Auto-Join Link

Last week we had an expected points tally of 57.19 points, we scored 12 points less than that and dropped almost 200k points. With Guaita, Stones, Shaw and Pritchard all not seeing a minute we were lucky our bench was full. With blanks coming from Pedro, Mane and Salah we were always set to perform badly in the week. Thankfully our 8m combo of Bennett and Wan Bisakka saved us ever so slightly giving us 15 points between them. There are issues in the squad such as Pritchard, Guaita and Liverpool’s impending bad run of fixtures to come. With 2 free transfers this week we’re going to use them both given the news of Pedro’s injury (which is said to not be that bad, and McCarthy having to face Liverpool.

We had considered binning Pritchard first and foremost due to his lack of playing time, but after calculating some of our next moves, it made more sense to drop Pedro once he was subbed off with an injury. We had originally planned to use our bank and bring in Demarai Gray for Pritchard, but with extra funds, we can plump for James Maddison instead. With Leicester only having to play a top 6 side once in their next 10 fixtures they’re likely to rise up the table. Going by the opening few weeks, everything positive has come through Maddison for Leicester and we’re hoping that will continue. With Huddersfield coming up next he’ll likely also get a clean sheet point in GW6.

With 5.2m left in the bank to replace Vincente Guaita in goal we refer back to our Expected Points post to speculate who will get the most points this week. Schmeichel is the obvious option but we have plans beyond this week and he doesn’t rotate well with McCarty. We look lower down the table and decided that Hart’s fixtures against Bournemouth (H), Cardiff (A) and Huddersfield (H) aligned well with McCarthy’s fixtures after of Bournemouth (A) and Newcastle (H). This also allows us to budget in future transfers which we’ve planned over the next few gameweeks.

To speculate, our plans are as follows:

GW6: Maddison + Hart in for Guaita and Pedro
GW7: Pogba + Dele Alli in for Salah and Maddison
GW8: Kane for Aguero

We’re expected a big haul this week!

Expected Points: 61.98

Best Starting XI

Joe Hart – Burnley – 4.5 M – 3.2 Expected Points

Christian Kabasele – Watford – 4.5 M – 3.67 Expected Points

Luke Shaw – Man United – 5.1 M – 4.54 Expected Points

Aaron Wan-Bissaka – Crystal Palace – 4.1 M – 4.05 Expected Points

John Stones – Man City – 5.5 M – 5.04 Expected Points

James Maddison – Leicester – 6.6 M – 4.93 Expected Points

Mohamed Salah (C) – Liverpool – 13 M – 7.52 (15.04) Expected Points

Sadio Mané – Liverpool – 10 M – 5.83 Expected Points

Aleksandar Mitrovic – Fulham – 6.8 M – 4.39 Expected Points

Sergio Agüero (VC)– Man City – 11.4 M – 5.96 Expected Points

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – 10.9 M – 5.34 Expected Points

Bench:
Alex McCarthy – Southampton – 4.5 M – 2.33 Expected Points

Ryan Bennett – Wolves – 4.1 M – 2.94 Expected Points

Kevin McDonald – Fulham – 4.4 M – 2.75 Expected Points

Alex Pritchard – Huddersfield – 4.9 M – 1.17 Expected Points

[Total: 0    Average: 0/5]

Paddy Keogh-Goode

I'm an avid fan of football and a season ticket holder for Bohemian FC in Ireland. I've supported Man United as long as I've known football, and tried to play until I was unable to. I used to work as a trader and have always had an interest in gambling. This website combines the two interests and hopefully helps a few others in making better decisions

Paddy Keogh-Goode

Paddy Keogh-Goode

I'm an avid fan of football and a season ticket holder for Bohemian FC in Ireland. I've supported Man United as long as I've known football, and tried to play until I was unable to. I used to work as a trader and have always had an interest in gambling. This website combines the two interests and hopefully helps a few others in making better decisions

5 thoughts on “The bookie’s team: Game Week 6 #FPL

  • September 21, 2018 at 3:40 pm
    Permalink

    What do you mean we have 2 free transfer this week?

    Reply
    • Paddy Keogh-Goode
      September 21, 2018 at 2:43 pm
      Permalink

      We banked a transfer in GW5

      Reply
  • September 24, 2018 at 11:37 pm
    Permalink

    Love these analisys! But there’s something I just can’t understand the reasoning…

    Why did you brought Maddison if you planned to keep him for a single week?

    And why to take a hit to sell him when he can still get a good score on gws 7 and 8? (not to mention his great run of fixtures from gw 10-15)

    Reply
    • Paddy Keogh-Goode
      September 25, 2018 at 12:05 am
      Permalink

      Hey man, we don’t plan on transferring him out straight away, whyd you think that?

      Reply
      • September 27, 2018 at 6:16 pm
        Permalink

        You guys mentioned it:

        “To speculate, our plans are as follows:

        GW6: Maddison + Hart in for Guaita and Pedro
        GW7: Pogba + Dele Alli in for Salah and Maddison”

        Reply
        • Paddy Keogh-Goode
          September 27, 2018 at 5:29 pm
          Permalink

          Typo, I’m an idiot

          Reply

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