Hi everyone, this is a weekly blog post where we document changes to our team based on bookie’s odds. Having done this last season we’d like to think we’ve learnt from our mistakes and aim to finish higher than our top 7% finish. This is not a wildcard XI or a team of the best possible players, this is an actual team which we have had since GW1 and have made changes to throughout the season. With the introduction and warning away, no to introduce to you the bookie’s team for Game Week 3. This post will review our changes and reason as to why we brought them in.
Currently, we’re 184,562nd in the world and aim to be in the top 1% by the end of the season. All with the help of the bookies. To view the team, click on the following link: OddsonFPLTeam
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A solid performance in game week 2 could have been made better had we captained Aguero against Huddersfield. With 72 points we beat the average by 12 points. With Wan-Bissaka being subbed in for the injured Alexis Sanchez our tally was brought down by 2. Stones coming in for Robertson seemed to be a bad choice going by the points tally, but with good fixtures coming up we’d expect him to score higher in future weeks.
We make a double move this week with Alexis Sanchez (inj.) coming out for Alex Pritchard (3.91), whilst bringing in Aubameyang (5.65) for Charlie Austin (4.1). With Austin verging on a rotation pick for Southampton, he could have only been a 3.1 exp. points.
It was a toss-up between Pritchard, Ryan Fraser and Aaron Mooy for who was to be brought in to replace the injured Alexis Sanchez. The plan was always to bring in Aubameyang for Arsenal’s good fixtures, so the injury has coincided at the perfect time. Given Aubameyang’s price, we were limited to players under 5.8m. We looked through midfielders in our Bookies Captain post and we firstly saw Alex Pritchard at 5.0m, then Aaron Mooy at 5.4m and then Ryan Fraser and Aaron Brooks from Bournemouth.
After looking at the fixtures, Huddersfield only plays against the top 6 TWICE in their next 13 fixtures. With fixtures against Cardiff, Everton, Palace and Leicester in their next 4, we can decide pretty rapidly if we’re going to keep our Huddersfield assets before GW8. After deciding on Huddersfield due to their fixtures we went to Twitter to see who was more likely between Pritchard and Mooy. With @FPLHuddersfield giving us the advice below.
Mooy is less likely to be rotated, on pens and should drip feed you points.
Although saying that Pritchard should be nailed against non top 6 sides. He has more potential to score higher. Plays much more advanced.
For £0.5m less I'd take the punt on Pritchard.
— FPL Huddersfield (@FplHuddersfield) August 22, 2018
Given the fact the next 4 fixtures are against non-top 6 opposition we’ve decided to take an educated punt on him over Mooy. The decision to drop Austin for Aubameyang also was a seriously, seriously easy one. While both have failed to score in their opening 2 fixtures, Aubameyang has at least looked like scoring. Austin has been subbed off in both fixtures and looks to be the second choice to Ings now. With Arsenal having a DREAM run of fixtures where Auba could realistically score in any of them it makes it all the easier.
Alex McCarthy – Southampton – 4.5m – 3.45 points
Southampton receives an awful lot of shots against them. Like, a lot. They’ve averaged 14.5 shots per game against Everton and Burnley. Two sides which were ranked 19th and 15th respectively for shots per game last season. If Mark Hughes doesn’t sort out his defence they could be up against more and more shots per game. With a home game against a Vardyless Leicester McCarthy should be more likely to keep a clean sheet. Given that Southampton has changed from a back 5 to a back 4 in their opening 2 fixtures it is still unsure how they’ll line up at the back. With only a 36.13% chance of a cleanie you might be expecting save points instead of clean sheet points.
John Stones – Man City – 5.5m – 5.66 points
Stones played as a right back, or what seemed as a right back during Manchester City’s demolition against Huddersfield. While he got into attacking positions he failed to score or assist. Stones completed 96.2% of his passes with 95.4% of them being completed in the opposition half, while also crossing twice, shooting once and creating one chance.
Christian Kabasele – Watford – 4.5m – 4.00 points
Let us ignore last week’s goals conceded and laugh at FPL’s post about his face. Last year’s fixture for Watford ended 0-0 when at home against Palace, lets hope for a repeat.
Luke Shaw – Man United – 5.1m – 3.82 points
A knock may worry you of his place in the side this week. Shaw has impressed me so far this season, a goal and assist, even if he meant neither is showing an attacking output. For a player who has lacked any sort of luck over the last 3 years, for his sake and our team’s sake, lets hope it continues. Against Spurs, I’d doubt United will keep a clean sheet, but lets hope he scores a fluke again.
Mohamed Salah (C) – Liverpool – £13.0m – 7.89 (15.78 points)
With Salah you just feel he’s going to score 3 goals in a game sooner or later. Against a Brighton side which conceded 2 against what many in the media are calling the worst side in the Premier League, he could score a bundle. Yes, that was a joke. Salah is Salah, he’ll rarely not perform, and at home, you can expect him to guarantee points.
Alex Pritchard – Huddersfield – £5.0m – 3.91 points
He hasn’t been guaranteed 90 minutes in his opening two fixtures, but he has impressed. He is a talented attacking midfielder and can create and score. The only issue is can Mounie finish? At 5.0m, you’re more hoping than thinking it will happen.
Sadio Mané (VC) – Liverpool – £9.8m – 5.95 points
Mané scored late in GW2 to finish off Palace, he’s been in stellar form so far this season. 3 goals and he’s expected to add to that in GW3.
Richarlison – Everton – £6.8m – 4.05 points
I love Richi, if you don’t have him in your side by now, what are you doing?
Sergio Aguero – Man City – £11m – 5.9 points
3 goals and an assist for Aguero stopped any doubts of him being dropped for GW3, a solid striker who sometimes struggles away from home. Should be expected to score against
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – £11.0m – 5.65 points
Under Emery, he seems to be the focal point of the attack for Arsenal. He’s a proven goalscorer and replaces a potential rotation risk in Austin.
Aleksandar Mitrovic – Fulham – £6.5m – 4.26 points
Scored in a fixture where many doubted he would. A home fixture to a Burnley side which conceded 3 in GW2 must be mouthwatering to FPL managers. Mitrovic is getting chances, creating, taking set pieces, he is an asset and should score double digits this season.
Vincente Guaita – Crystal Palace – £4.4m – 1.23 points
Kevin McDonald – Fulham – £4.5m – 1st choice sub – 2.98 points
Ryan Bennett – Wolves – £4.0m – 2nd choice sub – 1.66 points
Aaron Wan-Bissaka – Crystal Palace – £4.1m – SUSPENDED – 2.86 points