The bookie’s team: Game Week 12 #FPL

Hi everyone, this is a weekly blog post where we document changes to our team based on bookie’s odds. Having done this last season we’d like to think we’ve learned from our mistakes and aim to finish higher than our top 7% finish. This is not a wildcard XI or a team of the best possible players, this is an actual team which we have had since GW1 and have made changes to throughout the season. With the introduction and warning away, now to introduce to you the bookie’s team for Game Week 12. This post will review our changes and reason as to why we brought them in.

We transferred out Jonny for Keane in game week 11 which resulted in two points gained as Jonny returned 0. Aguero was the second highest expected points scorer but due to Hazard a doubt we opted to captain Aguero. A 26 point return from Aguero whilst Richarlison bagged a brace resulting in 15 points. Yedlin was our only defender to return defensive points as only Newcastle kept a clean sheet in our back line. Hazard came off the bench to provide an assist which resulted in 4 points. Ings was our last sub so he didn’t feature at all which was a shame as he returned 6 points despite having a low expectancy.

Thanks to banking our transfers it allowed us to make 2 this week. With Arnautovic seemingly free from injury we will take out the massively out of form Mitrovic. To accommodate this we had to remove a player from our side, with our defence looking good on rotation, the clear option was one of our 4.9m midfielders. Given Kenedy’s fixtures, we chose to drop Helder Costa. In comes Víctor Camarasa of Cardiff, who is 4.5m and has 6 decent fixtures over the coming weeks.

Our points expectancy in game-week 11 was  60.14 and we got a tally of 64 points, overperforming again. We’ve had 3 green arrows in a row, here is hoping for 4.

This week our expected points is 61.66

Lukasz Fabianski Expected Points 3.59

David Luiz Expected Points 4.7

Benjamin Mendy Expected Points 4.4

DeAndre Yedlin Expected Points 3.58

Trent Alexander-Arnold Expected Points 5.43

Eden Hazard Expected (VC) Points 6.26

Kenedy Expected Points 3.77

Mohammed Salah(C) Expected Points 16.48 (8.24 x 2)

Sergio Aguero  Expected Points 5.49

Marko Arnautovic Expected Points 4.14

Danny Ings Expected Points 3.82

Our bench is:

Matthew Ryan Expected Points 3.3

Richarlison Expected Points 3.73

Víctor Camarasa Expected Points 3.24

Michael Keane Expected Points 2.91

 

 

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