Goalscorer Probabilities – Gameweek 9 – Odds On #FPL

After game week 8 being personified by Harry Kane, the week offered so much, but in the end gave us so little. This week the fixtures are a lot tighter and only the Manchester clubs look like they have easy fixtures.

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With Morata starting in Europe against Roma it seems unlikely that Michy Batshuayi (55.26%) will start this week’s fixture. The Spanish attacker is this week’s third most likely scorer with an implied probability of 61.95%. Thankfully he isn’t rated on his passing ability.

Sergio Aguero may have said he’s fit to play but he didn’t start midweek in the champions league. Gabriel Jesus started in the champions league and played 87 minutes, which means he hasn’t had a rest since before the Internationals. This could lead to Jesus being rested and Aguero starting. Sure Pep hasn’t done that before, has he? Aguero has a 71.86% chance of scoring if he does start, while Jesus has a 71.77% chance

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Wilfried Zaha scored in his first game back from injury. After such a poor start from Crystal Palace this season, Zaha will be instrumental in keeping Palace away from relegation this season. The English born Ivorian winger will be instrumental against Newcastle and has a 26.73% chance of scoring, personally, I think he should be more likely. With that being said, Zaha and Andros’ tactics of playing higher up isn’t something you’d see in Pep’s tactics.

Mkhitaryan has a 35.86% chance to score this week. Many FPL managers will see this as last chance saloon. Mkhi has just 1 goal in the last 5 game weeks and 0 assists. Despite having a great start to the season his returns have slowly diminished. The Armenian has been pretty shite for United this season, with his early season stats making his poor form look less poor than it really has been. I wouldn’t be surprised if he is rested. With United having tougher fixtures coming up Mhky could be rested this week. Some fans are getting restless.

For those who bought Eden Hazard as soon as he was fit will be kicking themselves due to his poor returns. In a game where Chelsea was expected to batter Crystal Palace, they ended up losing and when they did score Hazard was not involved. This week they take on Watford in the early Kick Off on Saturday and he has a 45.16% chance of scoring.

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Marcos Alonso stands out this week, with a 23.15% chance of scoring which is absolutely massive for a defender which also has a chance of keeping a clean sheet. The Spaniard hasn’t impressed as of late and comes up against a tricky Watford next.

After the transfer drama in summer Virgil Van Dijk is back in action after starting in the last two game weeks and now looks nailed on. VVD occasionally does pop up with a goal albeit it’s not that frequent. He’s got an 11.95% chance of scoring this week. He has been pretty good too since he’s come back into the side. Pity about Fraser Forster being useless.

A city defender is certainly looking like a must-have this season so far. Kyle Walker is the most nailed and with the highest goal threat out of the defenders could be last years Marcos Alonso. Albeit he’s not on free kicks but he certainly attacks just as much. He’s got a 10.84% chance of scoring.

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