Goalscorer Probabilities – Gameweek 8 – Odds On #FPL

In this week 8’s goalscorer probabilities we find who our resident psychic believes will score this week. As per usual, we provide you with the bookie’s prices on the week’s most likely goalscorers and who will get you points. In this week’s article, we have the highest ever likelihood that a player will score at 75.89%. It won’t take you too long to guess.


In what could have been described as duller than watching paint dry, England managed to top their group. This ensured that the 3 lions qualified for the World Cup. Winning both games 1-0, with both goals coming from Harry Kane, England have become a shit Spurs side. All the while being less adventurous and attacking than a lion with no legs. There is seemingly one constant for England and Spurs, and that is Harry Kane scoring. The Spurs attacker has a 75.89% chance to score against Bournemouth and to keep up his good run of goalscoring form.

Gabriel Jesus will be flying in alongside Roberto Firmino and Phil Coutinho late to training on Thursday to join up with his Manchester City side before they take on Stoke. With the Brazilian likely to be fatigued after a long flight, and having played two games for Brazil he is about as likely to start, as he is to score. Gabriel Jesus is 69.25% likely to score this week. With Aguero back in training, there is a slight worry on my part that he isn’t nailed on to start.

Andy Carroll has been taking plenty of shots but has failed to make many of them count just yet. The injury-prone attacker has averaged 4.5 shots a game since coming back into the side and as of game week 8, has yet to score. With a normally tough away fixture to Burnley up next, the Hammers will be praying to the Pope in the hope of scoring against a Heaton-less Claret side. Caroll has a 31.15% chance of scoring this week.

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Dusan Tadic played his part against Georgia to guarantee Serbia’s position in the World Cup ahead of Wales and Ireland. The Serbian hasn’t managed to light up the Premier League this season but has been fantastic in world cup qualification, notching 7 assists. Tadic has a 31.18% chance of scoring against Newcastle at home, and if he manages to keep assisting he could perform well this week.

Gylfi Sigurdsson scored against Kosovo confirming Iceland’s first ever World Cup entry, and in turn making Iceland the smallest nation to ever qualify for the World Cup. The 50 million pound man will have to go some way of showing the form he has for Iceland to repay the faith in him that Koeman had when signing him. With Koeman’s job on the line, and only being given the month to save it, Gylfi will feel at home playing under a manager facing the sack. Sigurdsson is only a 28.77% chance of scoring this game week as Everton play away to Brighton.

Mohamed Salah scored twice against the Congo to help Egypt make the World Cup for the first time since 1990. 2 years before Salah was born. The Egyptian midfielder has been a fantastic signing for Liverpool since making the move back from Roma. Salah has scored 5 goals already and assisted once for Liverpool. Salah is a 32.89% chance to score against United, and is Liverpool’s most likely goalscoring outlet since Mane is out for 6 weeks.

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This week its likely that David Luiz will be restored to the Chelsea defence this week. With NGolo Kante out due to a hamstring injury. The Brazilian could be played out of position as a defensive midfielder. Knowing Luiz, he’ll be likely to roam and fill more of a libero role, than that of a destroyer than he has been used to. With a higher up position that a centre back, he could be more likely than the bookie’s 12.12% expectancy.

Ben Davies could be rested for this fixture. I say this as a scaremonger. But with Real Madrid midweek, and the disappointment of Wales not making the World Cup, Pochettino could rest the wing back against what could be considered a relatively easy fixture against Bournemouth. Danny Rose is back in contention for a place after appearing in training for the first time in months. I’m getting worried. The Welshman has a 11.47% chance of scoring against Bournemouth.

Nicolas Otamendi is likely to maintain his position starting in a duo alongside John Stones in what has become one of the most watertight defences in all the league. Nico is likely to play as long as Vinjury lives up to his harsh, but fair nickname. He has already scored once and it the more offensive of the two defenders. The Argentinian is a 12.02% chance to score this gameweek against Stoke.

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