Goalscorer Probabilities – Gameweek 6 – Odds On #FPL

With game week 6 creeping up on us, we’re going to take a look at who are the most likely scorers, overall, and by position. It’s no surprise that last week’s top scorer Sergio Aguero tops the list at the most likely scorer this week. With other Manchester City players and top 4 players (and Arsenal) topping to top 10, the most likely scorers will likely be the big hitters. We’ll show you to choose and who not to, this week.

While you’re here you may as well check out our clean sheet post too!

Overall

TeamImplied ProbabilityAverage OddsMax OddsExp. Points
Man Utd59.95%1.671.732.4
Liverpool58.62%1.711.82.34
Man City48.52%2.062.111.94
Spurs45.50%2.22.251.82
Crystal Palace44.68%2.242.31.79
Everton41.61%2.42.51.66
Arsenal40.29%2.482.571.61
Chelsea39.45%2.542.621.58
Wolves34.33%2.9131.37
Southampton30.35%3.33.51.21
Fulham26.77%3.743.81.07
West Ham23.69%4.224.450.95
Burnley23.02%4.344.550.92
Cardiff18.52%5.45.50.74
Brighton17.95%5.575.80.72
Watford17.78%5.6360.71
Leicester11.78%8.4990.47
Bournemouth10.58%9.4510.50.42
Huddersfield10.10%9.9110.4
Newcastle6.94%14.4160.28

Forwards

Sergio Aguero – 68.26%

No surprises here. After a hat-trick against Watford and an Assist,  he was clear favourite going into this week.  Rested midweek in the Tokyo Drift cup (Or whatever they’re calling it these days) he looks most likely to start against a hapless Crystal Palace. Though nothing is certain, except for rotation, in a Pep Guardiola side.

Harry Kane – 64.19%

We’ve been here before. Kane is once again up at the top of the leaderboard for the most likely scorers this week according to the bookies. With the Spurs striker notching another blank, despite so many chances, he’s bound to have a monster score soon! There is a common saying in FPL circles that you should never captain the early kickoff, and with Kane being away to West Ham in the 12:30 kickoff many who choose him will be hoping he had a lovely rest the night before..

Gabriel Jesus – 59.16%

The Brazilian Aguero. He’s almost as likely to score but is even less likely to start. Jesus played midweek in the Cup game so may not be certain to play the full 90 which should be taken into consideration. Bookies don’t take this into account when pricing, but the Brazilian could still be a good option to have as Crystal Palace could easily concede 4 by halftime.

Alexandre Lacazette – 55.35%

Lacazette had an extremely exciting start to the season, then has just become pish. The French fifty million pound man has only scored 2 goals in the league, and only played a full 90 minutes once. Welbeck’s injury should give Lacazette some more play time, and once Wenger can see where he is in the table, he may decide that better options than his current setup may be required. Lacazette is one of the most likely scorers this week.

Player NamePositionTeamImplied ProbabilityAverage OddsHighest OddsImplied PointsPriceStarter
Harry KaneForwardSpurs67.46%1.481.552.712.5Yes
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool66.92%1.491.573.3513.2Yes
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool58.28%1.721.82.335.7No
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City57.72%1.731.912.3111.2Yes
Divock OrigiForwardLiverpool55.21%1.812.022.215No
Fernando LlorenteForwardSpurs53.97%1.852.12.165.6No
Romelu LukakuForwardMan United53.57%1.8722.1410.7Yes
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangForwardArsenal53.33%1.882.12.1311.5Yes
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City53.31%1.882.082.1310.1No
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool51.84%1.932.052.079.2Yes
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool50.48%1.982.152.529.6Yes
Anthony MartialMidfielderMan United48.77%2.052.22.447.4Yes
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal48.60%2.062.251.949.6Yes
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea48.47%2.062.22.4211Yes
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool46.77%2.142.251.874.7No
Marcus RashfordForwardMan United45.56%2.22.31.827Yes
Son Heung-MinMidfielderSpurs44.61%2.242.52.238.5Rotation
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City44.32%2.262.42.2211.5Yes
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderLiverpool43.62%2.292.52.187.1Rotation
Danny IngsForwardSouthampton43.58%2.292.61.745.6Yes
Olivier GiroudForwardChelsea43.51%2.32.551.747.7Rotation
Wilfried ZahaForwardCrystal Palace42.21%2.372.51.696.7Yes
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea42.18%2.372.51.698.5Rotation
Lucas MouraMidfielderSpurs41.92%2.392.62.17Rotation
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City40.77%2.452.752.049.7Rotation
Riyad MahrezMidfielderMan City40.07%2.53.328.5Rotation
Edward NketiahForwardArsenal39.89%2.512.621.65No
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace39.82%2.512.71.596.3Rotation
RicharlisonMidfielderEverton39.68%2.522.621.987Yes
Paul PogbaMidfielderMan United39.39%2.542.81.977.9Yes
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton39.04%2.562.751.565.5Yes
Aleksandar MitrovicForwardFulham37.64%2.6631.516.7Yes
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderArsenal37.25%2.683.151.866.7Rotation
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs36.91%2.712.91.858.9Yes
Cenk TosunForwardEverton36.86%2.712.881.476.5No
Jesse LingardMidfielderMan United36.80%2.722.91.846.8Rotation
Raul JimenezForwardWolves36.57%2.732.881.466.2Yes
Connor WickhamForwardCrystal Palace36.39%2.7531.464.9No
PedroMidfielderChelsea35.92%2.783.11.86.3Rotation
Brahim DiazMidfielderMan City35.72%2.83.51.794.7No
Marko ArnautovicForwardWest Ham35.71%2.82.81.436.9Yes
Erik LamelaMidfielderSpurs35.65%2.83.31.786.2Rotation
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton35.53%2.813.21.426.5Yes
Jordan AyewForwardCrystal Palace35.20%2.8431.415.7No
ChicharitoForwardWest Ham35.06%2.853.31.46.5Yes
Alexander SorlothForwardCrystal Palace34.98%2.863.251.44.8No
Juan MataMidfielderMan United34.74%2.883.251.746.2Rotation
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham34.51%2.93.31.385.4No
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton34.36%2.913.051.375.6No
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton34.33%2.913.351.375.3Rotation
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace33.98%2.943.41.75.7Yes
Sullay KaikaiMidfielderCrystal Palace33.90%2.952.951.694.3No
Callum Hudson-OdoiMidfielderChelsea33.90%2.953.351.694.2No
WillianMidfielderChelsea33.77%2.963.21.697.3Yes
Oumar NiasseForwardEverton33.33%331.335No
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs33.25%3.013.251.669.3Yes
Leo BonatiniForwardWolves32.81%3.053.61.314.7No
Shane LongForwardSouthampton32.56%3.073.251.34.7Rotation
Michael ObafemiForwardSouthampton32.48%3.083.51.35No
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal32.31%3.14.751.628Yes
Florin AndoneForwardBrighton32.24%3.13.51.295No
Lucas PerezForwardWest Ham32.06%3.123.61.286.2No
Emile Smith-RoweMidfielderArsenal30.94%3.233.61.554.5No
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton30.80%3.2541.547.3Yes
Georges-Kevin NkoudouMidfielderSpurs30.77%3.253.251.544.8No
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham30.51%3.284.41.536.8No
Theo WalcottMidfielderEverton30.12%3.323.51.516.1Yes
Ivan CavaleiroMidfielderWolves30.10%3.3241.55.2Rotation
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal30.02%3.333.61.57.2No
Adam LallanaMidfielderLiverpool29.81%3.353.61.496.9No
Marouane FellainiMidfielderMan United29.74%3.364.21.494.9Rotation
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal29.49%3.394.11.475.5Rotation
Chris WoodForwardBurnley29.46%3.393.751.186.2Yes
David SilvaMidfielderMan City28.94%3.4641.458.5Yes
Sam VokesForwardBurnley28.91%3.463.851.165.3Rotation
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace28.87%3.464.51.446Yes
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester28.61%3.53.951.148.8Yes
Callum WilsonForwardBournemouth28.44%3.5241.146.9Yes
Mohamed ElyounoussiMidfielderSouthampton27.94%3.5841.46.1Rotation
Bernardo SilvaMidfielderMan City27.83%3.5941.397.5Rotation
Andre SchurrleMidfielderFulham27.78%3.64.51.395.7Yes
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City27.03%3.74.21.359.7Yes
Naby KeitaMidfielderLiverpool27.00%3.74.351.357.2Rotation
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderChelsea26.94%3.715.61.355.2No
Andreas PereiraMidfielderMan United26.92%3.714.51.354.5No
Stuart ArmstrongMidfielderSouthampton26.80%3.734.251.345.1Yes
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley26.55%3.774.251.065.6Rotation
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton26.30%3.84.331.315.2Yes
Helder CostaMidfielderWolves26.18%3.824.51.314.8Yes
Felipe AndersonMidfielderWest Ham25.96%3.854.51.37.4Yes
Aboubakar KamaraForwardFulham25.90%3.864.331.044.4No
Troy DeeneyForwardWatford25.86%3.874.251.035.8Yes
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth25.84%3.874.51.035.6No
Matej VydraForwardBurnley25.77%3.884.51.035.7No
Ross BarkleyMidfielderChelsea25.49%3.924.41.275.5Rotation
Luciano ViettoForwardFulham25.40%3.944.51.025.4Yes
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton25.35%3.954.21.275.1No
Max MeyerMidfielderCrystal Palace25.26%3.964.61.265.6Rotation
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea25.09%3.994.751.515.6No
Andre GrayForwardWatford25.04%3.994.416No
James MilnerMidfielderLiverpool24.96%4.014.51.255.6Rotation
Kenneth ZohoreForwardCardiff24.67%4.054.330.994.6No
Gerard DeulofeuMidfielderWatford24.36%4.114.51.225.4Yes
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford24.32%4.114.50.975No
Callum PatersonMidfielderCardiff24.27%4.124.351.215.3Yes
Jurgen LocadiaForwardBrighton24.22%4.134.750.975.3No
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester24.17%4.1450.975.9Yes
Kieran DowellMidfielderEverton24.00%4.174.51.24.5No
BernardMidfielderEverton23.87%4.194.751.195.9Yes
Adama TraoreMidfielderWolves23.45%4.265.751.175.2Rotation
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth22.99%4.3550.926.3Yes
Phil FodenMidfielderMan City22.87%4.374.751.144.6No
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City22.84%4.384.751.145.4No
Bobby ReidForwardCardiff22.71%4.44.90.915.2Yes
Isaac SuccessForwardWatford22.40%4.4650.94.6Rotation
Robert SnodgrassMidfielderWest Ham22.39%4.475.51.125.4Rotation
Gary MadineForwardCardiff22.14%4.5250.894.4No
Floyd AyiteMidfielderFulham21.92%4.565.51.14.3No
Joe PowellMidfielderWest Ham21.92%4.565.51.14.5No
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton21.84%4.585.11.095No
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton21.81%4.585.251.096.7Rotation
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace21.61%4.636.251.084.8Yes
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester21.51%4.655.750.865.2No
James MaddisonMidfielderLeicester21.50%4.655.31.086.8Yes
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth21.40%4.675.50.864.9No
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMidfielderWolves21.34%4.696.51.074.3No
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford21.19%4.725.21.066.2Yes
Ryan SessegnonMidfielderFulham21.05%4.755.51.056Yes
Alireza JahanbakhshMidfielderBrighton20.98%4.775.251.056.7Rotation
Grady DianganaMidfielderWest Ham20.96%4.775.51.054.5Rotation
Danny WardMidfielderCardiff20.90%4.795.51.044.3Rotation
FredMidfielderMan United20.60%4.8561.035.5Rotation
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool20.53%4.8761.035.5Rotation
Ruben NevesMidfielderWolves20.49%4.8871.025Yes
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield20.42%4.960.825.8Yes
Salomon RondonForwardNewcastle United20.23%4.9460.815.9Yes
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth20.21%4.956.41.016Rotation
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield19.96%5.016.50.85.1Rotation
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace19.68%5.0881.184.4Rotation
Josh MurphyMidfielderCardiff19.56%5.115.80.984.8Yes
Jose IzquierdoMidfielderBrighton19.51%5.135.50.985.9Rotation
Ryan John GilesMidfielderWolves19.46%5.145.50.974.5No
Neeskens KebanoMidfielderFulham19.46%5.1460.974.4No
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley19.05%5.255.50.955.7Yes
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley18.99%5.2780.955.3Yes
JoseluForwardNewcastle United18.72%5.346.40.754.8Rotation
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea18.36%5.4561.17Yes
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace18.04%5.547.50.94.3No
Robbie BradyMidfielderBurnley18.03%5.5570.95.4Rotation
Lucas TorreiraMidfielderArsenal17.99%5.567.50.95.2Yes
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton17.93%5.586.50.95.4Rotation
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool17.84%5.671.075.2Yes
David Junior HoilettMidfielderCardiff17.78%5.626.40.895Yes
Yoshinori MutoForwardNewcastle United17.76%5.636.50.715.6Rotation
Pierre-Emile HojbjergMidfielderSouthampton17.73%5.6460.894.4Yes
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea17.51%5.716.50.886.2No
Andre GomesMidfielderEverton17.49%5.727.50.875.4Yes
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle United17.21%5.817.50.696.1Yes
Solly MarchMidfielderBrighton17.21%5.816.750.865Yes
Mateo KovacicMidfielderChelsea17.21%5.8190.865.8Yes
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderCrystal Palace17.15%5.837.50.864.7Yes
David BrooksMidfielderBournemouth17.07%5.867.50.855Yes
Ander HerreraMidfielderMan United17.00%5.886.50.855No
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs16.97%5.8970.854.9Rotation
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton16.95%5.990.855.1Rotation
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth16.87%5.936.750.846.3Yes
Alex PritchardMidfielderHuddersfield16.85%5.947.50.844.8Rotation
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace16.83%5.9481.015.4Yes
Matt DohertyDefenderWolves16.79%5.96101.015.2Yes
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham16.73%5.9870.844.9Yes
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal16.69%5.998.50.835.3Yes
FabinhoMidfielderLiverpool16.63%6.0170.835.5Rotation
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester16.53%6.057.50.835.4Yes
Nathaniel Mendez-LaingMidfielderCardiff16.48%6.0770.824.8No
Tom CairneyMidfielderFulham16.27%6.158.50.814.7Yes
Dwight McNeilMidfielderBurnley16.24%6.167.50.814.4No
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderChelsea16.22%6.176.750.814.7No
Fousseni DiabateMidfielderLeicester16.14%6.27.50.814.6No
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton15.89%6.370.794.6No
Virgil van DijkDefenderLiverpool15.73%6.3670.946.3Yes
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs15.72%6.368.50.795.5Rotation
Scott McTominayMidfielderMan United15.66%6.3980.784.2No
Will HughesMidfielderWatford15.66%6.397.50.784.9Yes
Ken SemaMidfielderWatford15.64%6.398.50.784.6No
Kadeem HarrisMidfielderCardiff15.57%6.4270.784.5Rotation
Aaron LennonMidfielderBurnley15.35%6.528.50.775Rotation
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool15.33%6.528.50.775.3Rotation
Domingos QuinaMidfielderWatford15.33%6.5280.774.4No
Adama DiakhabyMidfielderHuddersfield15.31%6.5310.50.774.6Rotation
Victor CamarasaMidfielderCardiff15.27%6.557.50.764.6Yes
Victor WanyamaMidfielderSpurs15.19%6.5870.764.9Rotation
Oliver SkippMidfielderSpurs14.99%6.678.50.754.5No
Joao MoutinhoMidfielderWolves14.86%6.73110.745.2Yes
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth14.53%6.888.50.735No
Ainsley Maitland-NilesMidfielderArsenal14.39%6.9590.724.4No
Ashley YoungDefenderMan United14.29%7120.865.7Yes
Jacob MurphyMidfielderNewcastle United14.23%7.03110.714.8Rotation
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth14.19%7.0590.714.3No
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs14.09%7.110.50.856.1Yes
NGolo KanteMidfielderChelsea14.09%7.190.74.9Yes
JorginhoMidfielderChelsea13.93%7.189.50.74.8Yes
KenedyMidfielderNewcastle United13.86%7.219.50.694.9Yes
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal13.84%7.2390.835.4Yes
Rachid GhezzalMidfielderLeicester13.64%7.338.50.685.1Rotation
Isaac MbenzaMidfielderHuddersfield13.50%7.41100.675.9Rotation
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton13.46%7.438.50.815.1No
Stefan JohansenMidfielderFulham13.41%7.468.50.675.1Rotation
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle United13.29%7.52110.665.8Yes
EmersonDefenderChelsea13.27%7.538.50.85.2No
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton13.25%7.5590.664.8Yes
Elias KachungaForwardHuddersfield13.10%7.64100.524.8No
Nemanja MaticMidfielderMan United13.03%7.68100.655Yes
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton13.00%7.698.50.654.4No
Chris SmallingDefenderMan United12.94%7.739.50.785.6Yes
FernandinhoMidfielderMan City12.88%7.768.50.645.4Yes
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield12.86%7.78100.514.3No
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford12.76%7.84100.645.9Yes
Joe RallsMidfielderCardiff12.69%7.889.50.634.7Yes
Matteo GuendouziMidfielderArsenal12.08%8.28130.64.5Rotation
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle United11.97%8.3611.50.65.1Rotation
Lucas DigneDefenderEverton11.83%8.45120.715Yes
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford11.73%8.5211.50.595No
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderHuddersfield11.70%8.55110.584.8No
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton11.67%8.57120.584.2No
Konstantinos MavropanosDefenderArsenal11.67%8.579.50.74.7No
Harry ArterMidfielderCardiff11.63%8.6130.584.9Yes
Yerry MinaDefenderEverton11.61%8.62110.75.4Yes
Mohamed ElnenyMidfielderArsenal11.56%8.659.50.584.3No
Oriol RomeuMidfielderSouthampton11.53%8.6810.50.584.3No
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool11.49%8.79.50.696.6Yes
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester11.41%8.76130.575.1Yes
Antonio ValenciaDefenderMan United11.28%8.8613.50.686.4Rotation
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield11.26%8.88130.564.7Rotation
Fabian DelphDefenderMan City11.23%8.911.50.675.3Yes
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace11.18%8.95110.674.4No
Romain SaissDefenderWolves11.14%8.98110.674.2No
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley11.14%8.9811.50.564.6Yes
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford11.11%9100.564.9Yes
Diogo DalotDefenderMan United10.97%9.11120.665.3No
Luke ShawDefenderMan United10.97%9.11130.664.9Yes
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace10.92%9.16110.664.3Yes
Stephan LichtsteinerDefenderArsenal10.85%9.21110.654.5No
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham10.71%9.33150.544.4Yes
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs10.66%9.3811.50.645No
David LuizDefenderChelsea10.63%9.4110.645.8Yes
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal10.55%9.48130.635.4Yes
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal10.50%9.52110.635.4Yes
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace10.36%9.65150.624.4No
Davinson SanchezDefenderSpurs10.36%9.6511.50.625.8Rotation
Oleksandr ZinchenkoMidfielderMan City10.34%9.67120.524.7No
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal10.29%9.71110.625Yes
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley10.26%9.75120.624.7Yes
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool10.20%9.811.50.614.2No
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs10.19%9.81120.615.8Rotation
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton10.14%9.86120.615.1Yes
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea10.10%9.9110.616Yes
DaniloDefenderMan City10.03%9.97130.65.1No
Philip BillingMidfielderHuddersfield9.98%10.02160.54.5Yes
Ethan AmpaduMidfielderChelsea9.97%10.03130.54.4No
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton9.88%10.12120.494.8Yes
Jefferson LermaMidfielderBournemouth9.84%10.16170.494.5Yes
Aymeric LaporteDefenderMan City9.77%10.24130.596.1Yes
Seamus ColemanDefenderEverton9.76%10.25120.595.2Yes
Sol BambaDefenderCardiff9.74%10.26140.584.5Yes
Nicolas OtamendiDefenderMan City9.74%10.26120.586.1No
Conor CoventryMidfielderWest Ham9.74%10.27110.494.5No
Sean MorrisonDefenderCardiff9.66%10.35140.584.7Yes
Yves BissoumaMidfielderBrighton9.66%10.36120.484.7Rotation
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley9.65%10.36150.485.4No
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs9.62%10.39120.584.2No
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton9.57%10.45120.484.8Rotation
Nathaniel ChalobahMidfielderWatford9.50%10.52130.484.5Rotation
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea9.46%10.57130.575.1No
Nathaniel ClyneDefenderLiverpool9.44%10.6130.574.6No
Gary CahillDefenderChelsea9.42%10.62130.575.1No
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal9.35%10.7130.565.4Yes
Leander DendonckerMidfielderWolves9.29%10.76140.464.3No
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool9.27%10.79130.564.9Yes
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester9.21%10.86140.464.7No
Jean Michael SeriMidfielderFulham9.13%10.95150.465.1Yes
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton9.13%10.95150.554.6Yes
Alfie MawsonDefenderFulham9.09%11170.554.8Yes
Ki Sung-yuengMidfielderNewcastle United9.00%11.11120.454.7No
Beram KayalMidfielderBrighton8.96%11.1713.50.454.4Rotation
Sean LongstaffMidfielderNewcastle United8.93%11.2170.454.5No
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs8.90%11.24150.535.6Yes
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle United8.82%11.33140.444.9Yes
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford8.79%11.38170.534.7Yes
Danny RoseDefenderSpurs8.76%11.41150.535.8Rotation
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley8.70%11.5180.434.5Yes
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs8.67%11.54150.525.9Yes
Fabian BalbuenaDefenderWest Ham8.66%11.55190.524.5Yes
Eric BaillyDefenderMan United8.56%11.68150.515No
Toby AlderweireldDefenderSpurs8.54%11.71150.516Yes
Aron GunnarssonMidfielderCardiff8.51%11.75130.434.4Yes
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton8.51%11.75120.514.5Yes
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester8.47%11.81160.424.9Yes
Marcos RojoDefenderMan United8.46%11.82150.514.9No
Andre-Frank Zambo AnguissaMidfielderFulham8.43%11.87130.424.4Yes
Kurt ZoumaDefenderEverton8.38%11.93150.55Yes
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City8.37%11.95150.55.2No
John StonesDefenderMan City8.35%11.98150.55.3No
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton8.35%11.9813.50.424.4Yes
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton8.35%11.98150.54.1No
Calum ChambersDefenderFulham8.30%12.05200.54.2Yes
JonnyDefenderWolves8.18%12.23140.494.3Yes
Aaron Wan-BissakaDefenderCrystal Palace8.10%12.35170.494.3Yes
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth8.09%12.36150.44.6No
Ruben VinagreDefenderWolves8.04%12.43140.484.3Yes
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton8.04%12.44150.484.8Yes
Tyias BrowningDefenderEverton8.00%12.512.50.484No
Beni BaningimeMidfielderEverton8.00%12.512.50.44.3No
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton7.87%12.71170.474.2Yes
Joe BryanDefenderFulham7.84%12.75190.474.8Yes
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace7.84%12.75170.473.9No
Jannik VestergaardDefenderSouthampton7.81%12.81190.474.6No
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester7.79%12.84160.475.4Yes
Matteo DarmianDefenderMan United7.75%12.91190.464.6No
Phil JonesDefenderMan United7.71%12.98150.465.1No
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle United7.69%13140.385.3Yes
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace7.63%13.1170.464.3No
Victor LindelofDefenderMan United7.59%13.17190.464.8Yes
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton7.55%13.24170.454.3No
Loic DamourMidfielderCardiff7.53%13.28150.384.3No
Juninho BacunaMidfielderHuddersfield7.50%13.34170.374.3No
Leon BalogunDefenderBrighton7.47%13.38210.454.2No
Adrien SilvaMidfielderLeicester7.45%13.43140.374.8No
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City7.42%13.48190.456.5Yes
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton7.29%13.71170.444.2No
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham7.23%13.83150.435.1Rotation
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford7.22%13.85170.434.4Yes
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace7.17%13.95210.434.9Yes
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham7.11%14.07190.434.4Yes
Kortney HauseDefenderWolves7.06%14.17170.424No
Willy BolyDefenderWolves7.06%14.16170.424.6Yes
Ricardo PereiraDefenderLeicester7.04%14.2170.425.1Yes
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford7.04%14.2170.424.9Rotation
Kevin McDonaldMidfielderFulham7.00%14.29190.354.3Yes
Marc NavarroDefenderWatford7.00%14.28170.424.3No
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton6.97%14.36190.424.3Yes
SokratisDefenderArsenal6.95%14.38190.425.1Rotation
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham6.95%14.38190.424.2No
Ryan BennettDefenderWolves6.86%14.57170.414.2Yes
Issa DiopDefenderWest Ham6.86%14.58170.414.3Yes
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley6.71%14.91190.44.7Yes
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley6.67%15210.44.2No
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace6.67%15150.44.2No
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford6.67%15150.44.4No
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford6.67%15150.44.2No
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton6.64%15.07210.44.3No
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton6.61%15.12190.43.9No
Jon Gorenc StankovicDefenderHuddersfield6.59%15.18230.43.9No
Kiko FemeniaDefenderWatford6.52%15.33260.394.2Yes
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea6.51%15.36190.395No
Arthur MasuakuMidfielderWest Ham6.51%15.36190.334.3Yes
Ibrahima CisseMidfielderFulham6.50%15.39200.324.4No
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth6.48%15.43190.395Yes
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton6.46%15.47190.394.4Yes
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea6.32%15.83190.386.3Yes
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton6.31%15.86210.383.8No
Yan ValeryDefenderSouthampton6.26%15.98260.384Rotation
Craig CathcartDefenderWatford6.25%16260.384.5Yes
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton6.24%16.02230.374.2No
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth6.23%16.05210.374.2Yes
Ben GibsonDefenderBurnley6.21%16.1230.374.8No
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth6.21%16.1190.374.5Yes
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle United6.12%16.35230.314.3No
ZankaDefenderHuddersfield5.95%16.8290.364.4Yes
Matthew ConnollyDefenderCardiff5.93%16.88210.363.8No
Ben WilmotDefenderWatford5.93%16.86260.364No
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield5.92%16.9230.364.4Yes
Hamza ChoudhuryMidfielderLeicester5.78%17.3210.294.3No
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford5.70%17.53260.344.2No
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderFulham5.65%17.71210.344.5Yes
Fabian ScharDefenderNewcastle United5.54%18.05260.334.6Yes
Conor CoadyDefenderWolves5.46%18.32260.334.5Yes
Diego RicoDefenderBournemouth5.46%18.32210.334.2No
Ben ChilwellDefenderLeicester5.26%19260.325.1Yes
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle United5.22%19.17260.314.7Yes
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle United5.13%19.48340.314.5Rotation
Erik DurmDefenderHuddersfield5.07%19.73290.34.4Yes
Cyrus ChristieDefenderFulham5.05%19.82260.34.2Rotation
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield5.00%20410.254.4Yes
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester4.99%20.05260.34.2No
Greg CunninghamDefenderCardiff4.97%20.12260.34.2Rotation
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton4.92%20.33210.33.8No
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley4.90%20.41260.294.2No
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley4.83%20.71310.294.4Yes
Denis OdoiDefenderFulham4.77%20.95260.294.4Yes
Bruno Ecuele MangaDefenderCardiff4.68%21.36260.284.4Yes
Jonny EvansDefenderLeicester4.68%21.38260.284.8Yes
Joe BennettDefenderCardiff4.66%21.45260.284.4Yes
BernardoDefenderBrighton4.65%21.52310.284.2No
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham4.51%22.19290.274.3Yes
Jack SimpsonDefenderBournemouth4.50%22.24260.273.8No
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley4.44%22.5310.274.6Yes
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford4.40%22.71290.264.2No
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley4.35%23230.264.7Rotation
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield4.29%23.29290.264.4Yes
Martin MontoyaDefenderBrighton4.20%23.79310.254.3No
Caglar SoyuncuDefenderLeicester4.15%24.1310.254.9No
Adam MasinaDefenderWatford4.13%24.19340.254.3Rotation
Maxime Le MarchandDefenderFulham4.12%24.27340.254.2Yes
Nampalys MendyMidfielderLeicester4.07%24.55340.24.5Yes
Terence KongoloDefenderHuddersfield4.05%24.71290.244.3Yes
Tyrone MingsDefenderBournemouth3.96%25.24310.244.3No
Tim ReamDefenderFulham3.89%25.68340.234.2Yes
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle United3.85%26260.234.4No
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester3.83%26.14340.234.5Yes
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth3.83%26.1410.234.4Rotation
Lee PeltierDefenderCardiff3.82%26.19340.233.8No
Jazz RichardsDefenderCardiff3.81%26.24340.233.9No
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield3.56%28.09340.214.4Yes
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle United3.53%28.3340.214.5Yes
Federico FernandezDefenderNewcastle United3.52%28.4340.214.4Yes
Paul DummettDefenderNewcastle United3.49%28.65340.214.4Yes
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle United3.26%30.68360.24.3No
Gaetan BongDefenderBrighton3.16%31.67410.194.4Yes
BrunoDefenderBrighton3.11%32.13410.194.4Yes
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester2.84%35.17510.174.2No
Jamie SterryDefenderNewcastle United2.84%35.25410.174No

Midfielders

Alexis Sanchez – 52.46%

The Heartbreaker that is Sanchez – played midweek in the cup against Doncaster and will be expected to play this weekend, with Arsene Wenger looking to close the gap on Manchester City and Manchester United. The midfielder is the most likely midfield scorer this week from a non-forward position, and if he does start, I would estimate, as would the bookie’s he’ll more than likely score. With Arsenal being the 2nd most likely side to keep a clean sheet too, the former Barca man could have a big point week.

Dele Alli – 43.06%

Ever since Dele Alli has tried to shake off his pop band image, by sticking a sly middle finger up to Kyle Walker, it’s been all shite for the England’s number 10. With 0 goals in the league, and as many assists since the international break, Alli will be looking to refind the form which notched him 2 goals in 3 prior to it.

nintchdbpict0003503444473.jpg

Dele Alli to the haters

Leroy Sane – 41.59%

Sane has looked superb when he has played, albeit it is unknown to us whether or not he will ever be nailed on in Pep’s side. With many of us expecting this to be a breakout season for the electric German, it has been anything but, with Pep favouring 2 men up top instead of playing wide. With 2 goals in the cup against West Brom, Sane must be knocking on Pep’s door asking him ‘Kann ich dieses Wochenende spielen, Gaffer?’ . If Sane was a definitive starter he would be one of the best value picks, but then again so would Sterling, unfortunately, both likely start on the bench.

Eden Hazard – 39.76%

A cold wet Saturday afternoon in Stoke and we’ll hopefully witness some of Hazard’s magic. Hazard got an assist in the cup game midweek while also playing the full 90. It’s no surprise to see him so high up out of the midfielders given his mercurial talents. With the Belgian scoring plenty last season, and also being Chelsea’s nominated penalty taker he could very well net against a Stoke side which has only kept one clean sheet this season.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedAnytime ProbabilityTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.Clean Sheet ExpectedStarterPricePoints per £
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool3.3566.92%1.650.595.587.5858.62%Yes13.20.57
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool2.5250.48%0.970.594.086.0858.62%Yes9.60.63
Harry KaneForwardSpurs2.767.46%1.3104.016.0145.50%Yes12.50.48
Anthony MartialMidfielderMan United2.4448.77%0.90.63.945.9459.95%Yes7.40.8
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea2.4248.47%0.880.393.75.739.45%Yes110.52
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool1.0717.84%0.142.343.555.5558.62%Yes5.21.07
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City2.2244.32%0.740.493.455.4548.52%Yes11.50.47
Virgil van DijkDefenderLiverpool0.9415.73%0.112.343.45.458.62%Yes6.30.86
Ashley YoungDefenderMan United0.8614.29%0.12.43.355.3559.95%Yes5.70.94
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City2.3157.72%0.9903.35.348.52%Yes11.20.47
Chris SmallingDefenderMan United0.7812.94%0.092.43.265.2659.95%Yes5.60.94
Paul PogbaMidfielderMan United1.9739.39%0.590.63.155.1559.95%Yes7.90.65
Luke ShawDefenderMan United0.6610.97%0.082.43.145.1459.95%Yes4.91.05
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool0.6911.49%0.072.343.15.158.62%Yes6.60.77
Romelu LukakuForwardMan United2.1453.57%0.8703.015.0159.95%Yes10.70.47
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangForwardArsenal2.1353.33%0.8603540.29%Yes11.50.43
Richarlison de AndradeMidfielderEverton1.9839.68%0.570.422.974.9741.61%Yes70.71
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace1.0116.83%0.141.792.944.9444.68%Yes5.40.91
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool0.569.27%0.042.342.944.9458.62%Yes4.91.01
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool2.0751.84%0.8402.914.9158.62%Yes9.20.53
Victor LindelofDefenderMan United0.467.59%0.042.42.894.8959.95%Yes4.81.02
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.118.36%0.141.582.824.8239.45%Yes6.90.7
Bamidele AlliMidfielderSpurs1.8536.91%0.50.452.84.845.50%Yes8.90.54
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs0.8514.09%0.111.822.774.7745.50%Yes6.10.78
Fabian DelphDefenderMan City0.6711.23%0.061.942.684.6848.52%Yes5.30.88
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal1.9448.60%0.7302.674.6740.29%Yes9.60.49
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace1.733.98%0.470.452.624.6244.68%Yes5.80.8
Aymeric LaporteDefenderMan City0.599.77%0.061.942.584.5848.52%Yes6.10.75
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal0.8313.84%0.111.612.554.5540.29%Yes5.40.84
Matt DohertyDefenderWolves1.0116.79%0.161.372.544.5434.33%Yes5.20.87
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs1.6633.25%0.40.452.524.5245.50%Yes9.30.49
Willian Borges Da SilvaMidfielderChelsea1.6933.77%0.420.392.54.539.45%Yes7.30.62
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace0.6610.92%0.061.792.54.544.68%Yes4.31.05
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderLiverpool2.1843.62%0.720.593.494.4958.62%Rotation7.10.63
Marcus RashfordForwardMan United1.8245.56%0.6302.464.4659.95%Yes7.10.63
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.6232.31%0.430.42.454.4540.29%Yes80.56
Lucas DigneDefenderEverton0.7111.83%0.081.662.454.4541.61%Yes50.89
Yerry MinaDefenderEverton0.711.61%0.061.662.434.4341.61%Yes5.40.82
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City0.457.42%0.031.942.424.4248.52%Yes6.50.68
Heung-Min SonMidfielderSpurs2.2344.61%0.730.453.424.4245.50%Rotation8.60.51
David De GeaGoalkeeperMan United00.00%02.42.44.459.95%Yes5.70.77
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs0.538.90%0.041.822.44.445.50%Yes5.60.78
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs0.528.67%0.041.822.384.3845.50%Yes5.90.74
Danny IngsForwardSouthampton1.7443.58%0.6302.374.3730.35%Yes5.60.78
Toby AlderweireldDefenderSpurs0.518.54%0.041.822.374.3745.50%Yes60.73
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton1.5430.80%0.390.422.354.3541.61%Yes7.30.6
Alisson Ramses BeckerGoalkeeperLiverpool00.00%02.342.344.3458.62%Yes5.80.75
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton0.6110.14%0.061.662.334.3341.61%Yes50.87
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal0.6310.55%0.071.612.314.3140.29%Yes5.40.8
Aaron Wan-BissakaDefenderCrystal Palace0.498.10%0.041.792.314.3144.68%Yes4.40.98
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal0.6310.50%0.061.612.34.340.29%Yes5.40.8
Seamus ColemanDefenderEverton0.599.76%0.051.662.34.341.61%Yes5.20.83
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal0.6210.29%0.061.612.294.2940.29%Yes50.86
David Luiz Moreira MarinhoDefenderChelsea0.6410.63%0.061.582.274.2739.45%Yes5.80.74
Theo WalcottMidfielderEverton1.5130.12%0.330.422.264.2641.61%Yes6.10.7
David SilvaMidfielderMan City1.4528.94%0.330.492.264.2648.52%Yes8.50.5
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace0.437.17%0.031.792.254.2544.68%Yes4.90.87
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea0.6110.10%0.061.582.244.2439.45%Yes60.71
Wilfried ZahaForwardCrystal Palace1.6942.21%0.5302.224.2244.68%Yes6.70.63
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da SilvaMidfielderSpurs2.141.92%0.670.453.224.2245.50%Rotation6.90.61
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal0.569.35%0.041.612.214.2140.29%Yes5.40.78
Kurt ZoumaDefenderEverton0.58.38%0.041.662.214.2141.61%Yes50.84
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace1.4428.87%0.290.452.184.1844.68%Yes60.7
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace1.1819.68%0.21.793.174.1744.68%Rotation4.40.95
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City2.0440.77%0.630.493.154.1548.52%Rotation9.70.43
Riyad MahrezMidfielderMan City240.07%0.650.493.144.1448.52%Rotation8.50.49
Antonio ValenciaDefenderMan United0.6811.28%0.062.43.144.1459.95%Rotation6.40.65
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City1.3527.03%0.260.492.14.148.52%Yes9.70.42
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton1.5639.04%0.4702.034.0330.35%Yes5.50.73
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea0.386.32%0.031.581.993.9939.45%Yes6.30.63
Andre SchurrleMidfielderFulham1.3927.78%0.310.271.963.9626.77%Yes5.70.7
Jesse LingardMidfielderMan United1.8436.80%0.520.62.963.9659.95%Rotation6.80.58
Aleksandar MitrovicForwardFulham1.5137.64%0.4501.953.9526.77%Yes6.70.59
Ederson Santana de MoraesGoalkeeperMan City00.00%01.941.943.9448.52%Yes5.70.69
Helder CostaMidfielderWolves1.3126.18%0.260.341.913.9134.33%Yes4.80.81
Ruben Goncalo Silva Nascimento VinagreDefenderWolves0.488.04%0.041.371.93.934.33%Yes4.30.91
Jonathan Castro OttoDefenderWolves0.498.18%0.041.371.93.934.33%Yes4.30.91
Stuart ArmstrongMidfielderSouthampton1.3426.80%0.240.31.893.8930.35%Yes5.10.76
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton1.3126.30%0.230.31.853.8530.35%Yes5.20.74
Raul JimenezForwardWolves1.4636.57%0.3901.853.8534.33%Yes6.20.62
Willy BolyDefenderWolves0.427.06%0.031.371.833.8334.33%Yes4.60.83
Bernard Anicio Caldeira DuarteMidfielderEverton1.1923.87%0.210.421.823.8241.61%Yes5.90.65
Hugo LlorisGoalkeeperSpurs00.00%01.821.823.8245.50%Yes5.40.71
Ryan BennettDefenderWolves0.416.86%0.031.371.823.8234.33%Yes4.20.91
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton1.4235.53%0.3901.813.8117.95%Yes6.50.59
Juan MataMidfielderMan United1.7434.74%0.470.62.813.8159.95%Rotation6.20.61
Javier Hernandez BalcazarForwardWest Ham1.435.06%0.3901.83.823.69%Yes6.50.58
Wayne HennesseyGoalkeeperCrystal Palace00.00%01.791.793.7944.68%Yes4.50.84
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderArsenal1.8637.25%0.510.42.773.7740.29%Rotation6.70.56
Felipe Anderson Pereira GomesMidfielderWest Ham1.325.96%0.230.241.773.7723.69%Yes7.40.51
Erik LamelaMidfielderSpurs1.7835.65%0.510.452.753.7545.50%Rotation6.20.61
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton0.488.04%0.041.211.743.7430.35%Yes4.80.78
Conor CoadyDefenderWolves0.335.46%0.031.371.733.7334.33%Yes4.50.83
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace1.0821.61%0.20.451.723.7244.68%Yes4.80.78
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton0.477.87%0.041.211.723.7230.35%Yes4.20.89
Pedro Rodriguez LedesmaMidfielderChelsea1.835.92%0.50.392.693.6939.45%Rotation6.30.59
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton0.426.97%0.031.211.673.6730.35%Yes4.30.85
Jordan PickfordGoalkeeperEverton00.00%01.661.663.6641.61%Yes50.73
Alfie MawsonDefenderFulham0.559.09%0.041.071.663.6626.77%Yes4.80.76
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton0.396.46%0.031.211.633.6330.35%Yes4.30.85
Callum PatersonMidfielderCardiff1.2124.27%0.220.191.623.6218.52%Yes5.20.7
Calum ChambersDefenderFulham0.58.30%0.051.071.623.6226.77%Yes4.20.86
Gerard DeulofeuMidfielderWatford1.2224.36%0.230.181.623.6217.78%Yes5.40.67
Bernd LenoGoalkeeperArsenal00.00%01.611.613.6140.29%Yes4.80.75
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley0.6210.26%0.060.921.593.5923.02%Yes4.70.76
Kepa ArrizabalagaGoalkeeperChelsea00.00%01.581.583.5839.45%Yes5.60.64
Joe BryanDefenderFulham0.477.84%0.041.071.583.5826.77%Yes4.80.75
Ruben Diogo da Silva NevesMidfielderWolves1.0220.49%0.170.341.543.5434.33%Yes50.71
Fabian BalbuenaDefenderWest Ham0.528.66%0.040.951.513.5123.69%Yes4.50.78
Davinson SanchezDefenderSpurs0.6210.36%0.061.822.53.545.50%Rotation5.80.6
Ryan SessegnonMidfielderFulham1.0521.05%0.160.271.483.4826.77%Yes60.58
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs0.6110.19%0.051.822.483.4845.50%Rotation5.80.6
Chris WoodForwardBurnley1.1829.46%0.2701.453.4523.02%Yes6.20.56
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderFulham0.345.65%0.031.071.443.4426.77%Yes4.50.76
Lucas TorreiraMidfielderArsenal0.917.99%0.130.41.433.4340.29%Yes5.20.66
Marouane FellainiMidfielderMan United1.4929.74%0.350.62.433.4359.95%Rotation4.90.7
Marko ArnautovicForwardWest Ham1.4335.71%001.433.4323.69%Yes6.90.5
Andre Filipe Tavares GomesMidfielderEverton0.8717.49%0.120.421.413.4141.61%Yes5.40.63
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham0.437.11%0.030.951.413.4123.69%Yes4.40.77
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea1.5125.09%0.321.583.43.439.45%No5.60.61
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford1.0621.19%0.160.181.43.417.78%Yes6.20.55
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester1.1428.61%0.2501.393.3911.78%Yes8.80.39
Danny RoseDefenderSpurs0.538.76%0.041.822.393.3945.50%Rotation5.80.58
Issa DiopDefenderWest Ham0.416.86%0.030.951.393.3923.69%Yes4.30.79
Sol BambaDefenderCardiff0.589.74%0.050.741.383.3818.52%Yes4.50.75
Mateo KovacicMidfielderChelsea0.8617.21%0.130.391.383.3839.45%Yes5.80.58
Denis OdoiDefenderFulham0.294.77%0.031.071.383.3826.77%Yes4.40.77
Callum WilsonForwardBournemouth1.1428.44%0.2401.373.3710.58%Yes6.80.5
Sean MorrisonDefenderCardiff0.589.66%0.050.741.373.3718.52%Yes4.70.72
Rui Pedro dos Santos PatricioGoalkeeperWolves00.00%01.371.373.3734.33%Yes4.60.73
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley0.46.71%0.040.921.363.3623.02%Yes4.70.71
James MaddisonMidfielderLeicester1.0821.50%0.170.121.363.3611.78%Yes6.80.49
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool2.3358.28%1.0303.363.3658.62%No5.70.59
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal0.8316.69%0.10.41.343.3440.29%Yes5.30.63
Maxime Le MarchandDefenderFulham0.254.12%0.021.071.343.3426.77%Yes4.20.8
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley0.9518.99%0.150.231.333.3323.02%Yes5.30.63
Tim ReamDefenderFulham0.233.89%0.021.071.333.3326.77%Yes4.20.79
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton0.559.13%0.050.721.323.3217.95%Yes4.60.72
Nemanja MaticMidfielderMan United0.6513.03%0.070.61.323.3259.95%Yes50.66
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergMidfielderSouthampton0.8917.73%0.130.31.323.3230.35%Yes4.40.75
Josh MurphyMidfielderCardiff0.9819.56%0.140.191.33.318.52%Yes4.80.69
Olivier GiroudForwardChelsea1.7443.51%0.5602.33.339.45%Rotation7.70.43
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderCrystal Palace0.8617.15%00.451.33.344.68%Yes4.70.7
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley0.9519.05%0.10.231.293.2923.02%Yes5.70.58
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford0.538.79%0.050.711.293.2917.78%Yes4.70.7
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton0.518.51%0.050.721.283.2817.95%Yes4.50.73
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley0.294.83%0.020.921.243.2423.02%Yes4.40.74
Troy DeeneyForwardWatford1.0325.86%0.2101.243.2417.78%Yes5.80.56
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham0.274.51%0.020.951.243.2423.69%Yes4.30.75
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal1.4729.49%0.350.42.233.2340.29%Rotation5.50.59
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea1.6942.18%0.5402.223.2239.45%Rotation8.50.38
Naby KeitaMidfielderLiverpool1.3527.00%0.290.592.223.2258.62%Rotation7.20.45
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley0.274.44%0.030.921.213.2123.02%Yes4.60.7
Luciano ViettoForwardFulham1.0225.40%0.1901.213.2126.77%Yes5.40.59
Alex McCarthyGoalkeeperSouthampton00.00%01.211.213.2130.35%Yes4.50.71
Fernando Luiz RosaMidfielderMan City0.6412.88%0.070.491.23.248.52%Yes5.40.59
David Junior HoilettMidfielderCardiff0.8917.78%0.110.191.193.1918.52%Yes50.64
Tom CairneyMidfielderFulham0.8116.27%0.110.271.193.1926.77%Yes4.70.68
Ivan CavaleiroMidfielderWolves1.530.10%0.350.342.193.1934.33%Rotation5.20.61
N'Golo KanteMidfielderChelsea0.714.09%0.080.391.183.1839.45%Yes4.90.65
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford0.437.22%0.040.711.183.1817.78%Yes4.40.72
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham0.8416.73%0.110.241.183.1823.69%Yes4.90.65
Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e SilvaMidfielderMan City1.3927.83%0.290.492.173.1748.52%Rotation7.50.42
João Filipe Iria Santos MoutinhoMidfielderWolves0.7414.86%0.090.341.173.1734.33%Yes5.20.61
Jorge Luiz Frello FilhoMidfielderChelsea0.713.93%0.070.391.163.1639.45%Yes4.80.66
Divock OrigiForwardLiverpool2.2155.21%0.9503.163.1658.62%No50.63
Solomon MarchMidfielderBrighton0.8617.21%0.110.181.153.1517.95%Yes50.63
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester0.9724.17%0.1801.143.1411.78%Yes5.90.53
Francisco Femenia FarDefenderWatford0.396.52%0.030.711.143.1417.78%Yes4.20.75
Jose Diogo Dalot TeixeiraDefenderMan United0.6610.97%0.062.43.123.1259.95%No5.30.59
Craig CathcartDefenderWatford0.386.25%0.030.711.123.1217.78%Yes4.50.69
Fernando LlorenteForwardSpurs2.1653.97%0.9203.083.0845.50%No5.60.55
David BrooksMidfielderBournemouth0.8517.07%0.110.111.073.0710.58%Yes50.61
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth0.9222.99%0.1501.073.0710.58%Yes6.30.49
Sergio RicoGoalkeeperFulham00.00%01.071.073.0726.77%Yes4.40.7
Sokratis PapastathopoulosDefenderArsenal0.426.95%0.031.612.063.0640.29%Rotation5.10.6
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace1.5939.82%0.4702.063.0644.68%Rotation6.30.49
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth0.8416.87%0.110.111.053.0510.58%Yes6.30.48
Bruno Ecuele MangaDefenderCardiff0.284.68%0.030.741.053.0518.52%Yes4.40.69
Joe BennettDefenderCardiff0.284.66%0.030.741.053.0518.52%Yes4.40.69
Bobby ReidForwardCardiff0.9122.71%0.1401.053.0518.52%Yes5.20.59
James MilnerMidfielderLiverpool1.2524.96%0.210.592.053.0558.62%Rotation5.60.54
Will HughesMidfielderWatford0.7815.66%0.090.181.053.0517.78%Yes4.90.62
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester0.8316.53%0.090.121.043.0411.78%Yes5.40.56
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton0.6613.25%0.080.31.043.0430.35%Yes4.80.63
Victor CamarasaMidfielderCardiff0.7615.27%0.080.191.033.0318.52%Yes4.60.66
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool0.6110.20%0.052.343358.62%No4.20.71
Gabriel Fernando de JesusForwardMan City2.1353.31%0.8703348.52%No10.10.3
Mohamed ElyounoussiMidfielderSouthampton1.427.94%0.290.31.992.9930.35%Rotation6.10.49
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester0.477.79%0.040.470.982.9811.78%Yes5.40.55
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton0.499.88%0.040.420.952.9541.61%Yes4.80.61
Nathaniel ClyneDefenderLiverpool0.579.44%0.042.342.952.9558.62%No4.60.64
Marcos RojoDefenderMan United0.518.46%0.042.42.952.9559.95%No4.90.6
Eric BaillyDefenderMan United0.518.56%0.042.42.952.9559.95%No50.59
Lukasz FabianskiGoalkeeperWest Ham00.00%00.950.952.9523.69%Yes4.70.63
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield0.8220.42%0.1300.942.9410.10%Yes5.80.51
Gaëtan BongDefenderBrighton0.193.16%0.020.720.932.9317.95%Yes4.40.66
Ricardo Domingos Barbosa PereiraDefenderLeicester0.427.04%0.030.470.932.9311.78%Yes5.10.57
Salomon RondonForwardNewcastle United0.8120.23%0.1200.932.936.94%Yes5.80.51
Bruno Saltor GrauDefenderBrighton0.193.11%0.020.720.922.9217.95%Yes4.40.66
Joe HartGoalkeeperBurnley00.00%00.920.922.9223.02%Yes4.50.65
Max MeyerMidfielderCrystal Palace1.2625.26%0.210.451.922.9244.68%Rotation5.60.52
Ross BarkleyMidfielderChelsea1.2725.49%0.230.391.92.939.45%Rotation5.40.54
Phil JonesDefenderMan United0.467.71%0.042.42.92.959.95%No5.10.57
Matteo DarmianDefenderMan United0.467.75%0.042.42.92.959.95%No4.60.63
Joe RallsMidfielderCardiff0.6312.69%0.070.190.892.8918.52%Yes4.70.61
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford0.6412.76%0.070.180.882.8817.78%Yes5.90.49
Robert Kenedy Nunes do NascimentoMidfielderNewcastle United0.6913.86%0.080.070.852.856.94%Yes4.90.58
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth0.396.48%0.030.420.842.8410.58%Yes50.57
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley0.5611.14%0.050.230.842.8423.02%Yes4.60.62
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth0.376.21%0.030.420.832.8310.58%Yes4.50.63
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth0.376.23%0.030.420.832.8310.58%Yes4.20.67
Harry ArterMidfielderCardiff0.5811.63%0.070.190.832.8318.52%Yes4.90.58
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham0.5410.71%0.050.240.832.8323.69%Yes4.40.64
Benjamin ChilwellDefenderLeicester0.325.26%0.030.470.822.8211.78%Yes5.10.55
Brahim DiazMidfielderMan City1.7935.72%0.530.492.812.8148.52%No4.70.6
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle United0.6613.29%0.070.070.812.816.94%Yes5.80.48
Frederico Rodrigues de Paula SantosMidfielderMan United1.0320.60%0.170.61.82.859.95%Rotation5.50.51
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield0.365.92%0.030.40.792.7910.10%Yes4.40.63
Mathias JorgensenDefenderHuddersfield0.365.95%0.030.40.792.7910.10%Yes4.40.63
Jonny EvansDefenderLeicester0.284.68%0.030.470.782.7811.78%Yes4.80.58
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool1.0320.53%0.170.591.782.7858.62%Rotation5.50.51
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle United0.6917.21%0.0900.782.786.94%Yes6.10.46
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford0.5611.11%0.050.180.782.7817.78%Yes4.90.57
Jean Michael SeriMidfielderFulham0.469.13%0.030.270.762.7626.77%Yes5.10.54
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester0.5711.41%0.060.120.752.7511.78%Yes5.10.54
Neil EtheridgeGoalkeeperCardiff00.00%00.740.742.7418.52%Yes4.50.61
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton1.3734.33%0.3701.742.7441.61%Rotation5.30.52
Erik DurmDefenderHuddersfield0.35.07%0.030.40.742.7410.10%Yes4.40.62
Mathew RyanGoalkeeperBrighton00.00%00.720.722.7217.95%Yes4.50.6
Andre-Frank Zambo AnguissaMidfielderFulham0.428.43%0.030.270.722.7226.77%Yes4.40.62
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester0.233.83%0.020.470.722.7211.78%Yes4.50.61
Adama TraoreMidfielderWolves1.1723.45%0.210.341.722.7234.33%Rotation5.20.52
Ben FosterGoalkeeperWatford00.00%00.710.712.7117.78%Yes4.50.6
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley0.438.70%0.040.230.72.723.02%Yes4.50.6
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield0.264.29%0.030.40.692.6910.10%Yes4.40.61
Terence KongoloDefenderHuddersfield0.244.05%0.020.40.672.6710.10%Yes4.30.62
Philip BillingMidfielderHuddersfield0.59.98%0.050.10.652.6510.10%Yes4.50.59
Jefferson LermaMidfielderBournemouth0.499.84%0.050.110.642.6410.58%Yes4.50.59
Aron GunnarssonMidfielderCardiff0.438.51%0.030.190.642.6418.52%Yes4.40.6
Kevin McDonaldMidfielderFulham0.357.00%0.030.270.642.6426.77%Yes4.30.62
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield0.213.56%0.020.40.642.6410.10%Yes4.40.6
Fabian SchärDefenderNewcastle United0.335.54%0.030.280.642.646.94%Yes4.60.57
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton0.428.35%0.040.180.632.6317.95%Yes4.40.6
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle United0.315.22%0.030.280.622.626.94%Yes4.70.56
Shane LongForwardSouthampton1.332.56%0.3201.622.6230.35%Rotation4.70.56
Yan ValeryDefenderSouthampton0.386.26%0.031.211.622.6230.35%Rotation40.66
Danilo Luiz da SilvaDefenderMan City0.610.03%0.061.942.62.648.52%No5.10.51
Callum Hudson-OdoiMidfielderChelsea1.6933.90%0.50.392.592.5939.45%No4.20.62
Arthur MasuakuMidfielderWest Ham0.336.51%0.030.240.592.5923.69%Yes4.30.6
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester0.428.47%0.040.120.582.5811.78%Yes4.90.53
Nicolas OtamendiDefenderMan City0.589.74%0.051.942.582.5848.52%No6.10.42
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton0.8113.46%0.081.662.552.5541.61%No5.10.5
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle United0.448.82%0.030.070.542.546.94%Yes4.90.52
Fabio Henrique TavaresMidfielderLiverpool0.8316.63%0.110.591.532.5358.62%Rotation5.50.46
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool1.8746.77%0.6602.532.5358.62%No4.70.54
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace0.6711.18%0.061.792.522.5244.68%No4.40.57
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs0.6410.66%0.061.822.522.5245.50%No50.5
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle United0.213.53%0.020.280.512.516.94%Yes4.50.56
Paul DummettDefenderNewcastle United0.213.49%0.020.280.512.516.94%Yes4.40.57
Federico FernandezDefenderNewcastle United0.213.52%0.020.280.512.516.94%Yes4.40.57
Robert SnodgrassMidfielderWest Ham1.1222.39%0.160.241.512.5123.69%Rotation5.40.47
Rafael CamachoMidfielderLiverpool1.5731.47%0.340.592.52.558.62%50.5
John StonesDefenderMan City0.58.35%0.051.942.492.4948.52%No5.30.47
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle United0.387.69%0.040.070.492.496.94%Yes5.30.47
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City0.58.37%0.041.942.482.4848.52%No5.20.48
Kasper SchmeichelGoalkeeperLeicester00.00%00.470.472.4711.78%Yes50.49
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton1.0921.81%0.190.181.462.4617.95%Rotation6.70.37
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace0.6210.36%0.061.792.462.4644.68%No4.40.56
Timothy EyomaDefenderSpurs0.69.94%0.041.822.462.4645.50%40.61
Emerson Palmieri dos SantosDefenderChelsea0.813.27%0.081.582.452.4539.45%No5.20.47
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs0.589.62%0.051.822.452.4545.50%No4.20.58
Grady DianganaMidfielderWest Ham1.0520.96%0.160.241.442.4423.69%Rotation4.50.54
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool0.7715.33%0.080.591.432.4358.62%Rotation5.30.46
Asmir BegovicGoalkeeperBournemouth00.00%00.420.422.4210.58%Yes4.50.54
Sam VokesForwardBurnley1.1628.91%0.2601.422.4223.02%Rotation5.30.46
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs0.8516.97%0.120.451.422.4245.50%Rotation4.90.49
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham0.437.23%0.030.951.422.4223.69%Rotation5.10.47
Adam LallanaMidfielderLiverpool1.4929.81%0.330.592.412.4158.62%No6.90.35
Cyrus ChristieDefenderFulham0.35.05%0.031.071.42.426.77%Rotation4.20.57
Jonas LosslGoalkeeperHuddersfield00.00%00.40.42.410.10%Yes4.40.55
Sergio RomeroGoalkeeperMan United00.00%02.42.42.459.95%No50.48
Lee GrantGoalkeeperMan United00.00%02.42.42.459.95%No4.90.49
Konstantinos MavropanosDefenderArsenal0.711.67%0.071.612.382.3840.29%No4.70.51
Alireza JahanbakhshMidfielderBrighton1.0520.98%0.160.181.382.3817.95%Rotation6.70.36
Danny WardMidfielderCardiff1.0420.90%0.150.191.382.3818.52%Rotation4.30.55
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton0.8516.95%0.10.421.372.3741.61%Rotation5.10.46
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield0.255.00%0.020.10.372.3710.10%Yes4.40.54
Nampalys MendyMidfielderLeicester0.24.07%0.020.120.342.3411.78%Yes4.50.52
Simon MignoletGoalkeeperLiverpool00.00%02.342.342.3458.62%No4.80.49
Loris KariusGoalkeeperLiverpool00.00%02.342.342.3458.62%No4.90.48
Stephan LichtsteinerDefenderArsenal0.6510.85%0.071.612.332.3340.29%No4.50.52
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs0.7915.72%0.080.451.332.3345.50%Rotation5.50.42
Georges-Kevin NkoudouMidfielderSpurs1.5430.77%0.330.452.332.3345.50%No4.80.48
Emile Smith-RoweMidfielderArsenal1.5530.94%0.350.42.32.340.29%No4.50.51
Jose Heriberto Izquierdo MenaMidfielderBrighton0.9819.51%0.150.181.32.317.95%Rotation5.90.39
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace0.477.84%0.041.792.32.344.68%No3.90.59
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth1.0120.21%0.160.111.282.2810.58%Rotation60.38
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace0.467.63%0.041.792.282.2844.68%No4.30.53
Martin DubravkaGoalkeeperNewcastle United00.00%00.280.282.286.94%Yes50.46
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley1.0626.55%0.201.272.2723.02%Rotation5.60.4
Robbie BradyMidfielderBurnley0.918.03%0.130.231.262.2623.02%Rotation5.40.42
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal1.530.02%0.340.42.252.2540.29%No7.20.31
Bukayo SakaMidfielderArsenal1.4929.88%0.340.42.242.2440.29%4.50.5
Victor WanyamaMidfielderSpurs0.7615.19%00.451.212.2145.50%Rotation4.90.45
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton0.917.93%0.130.181.22.217.95%Rotation5.40.41
Andreas PereiraMidfielderMan United1.3526.92%0.260.62.22.259.95%No4.50.49
Gary CahillDefenderChelsea0.579.42%0.051.582.192.1939.45%No5.10.43
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea0.579.46%0.051.582.192.1939.45%No5.10.43
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace0.46.67%01.792.192.1944.68%No4.20.52
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley0.264.35%00.921.182.1823.02%Rotation4.70.46
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford0.427.04%0.030.711.172.1717.78%Rotation4.90.44
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton0.457.55%0.041.662.162.1641.61%No4.30.5
Sullay KaikaiMidfielderCrystal Palace1.6933.90%00.452.142.1444.68%No4.30.5
Tyias BrowningDefenderEverton0.488.00%01.662.142.1441.61%No40.54
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.5330.51%0.350.242.112.1123.69%No6.80.31
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton0.46.64%0.031.662.12.141.61%No4.30.49
Romain SaïssDefenderWolves0.6711.14%0.061.372.12.134.33%No4.20.5
Matteo GuendouziMidfielderArsenal0.612.08%0.080.41.092.0940.29%Rotation4.50.46
Edward NketiahForwardArsenal1.639.89%0.502.092.0940.29%No50.42
Aaron LennonMidfielderBurnley0.7715.35%0.10.231.092.0923.02%Rotation50.42
Greg CunninghammDefenderCardiff0.34.97%0.030.741.072.0718.52%Rotation4.20.49
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton0.376.24%0.031.662.072.0741.61%No4.20.49
Kadeem HarrisMidfielderCardiff0.7815.57%0.090.191.062.0618.52%Rotation4.50.46
Alex PritchardMidfielderHuddersfield0.8416.85%0.110.11.062.0610.10%Rotation4.80.43
Isaac Success AjayiForwardWatford0.922.40%0.1401.032.0317.78%Rotation4.60.44
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderChelsea1.3526.94%0.270.392.012.0139.45%No5.20.39
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea0.396.51%0.031.582239.45%No50.4
Stefan JohansenMidfielderFulham0.6713.41%0.060.271226.77%Rotation5.10.39
Adama DiakhabyMidfielderHuddersfield0.7715.31%0.110.10.981.9810.10%Rotation4.50.44
Adam MasinaDefenderWatford0.254.13%0.030.710.981.9817.78%Rotation4.30.46
Claudio BravoGoalkeeperMan City00.00%01.941.941.9448.52%No4.80.4
Arijanet MuricGoalkeeperMan City00.00%01.941.941.9448.52%No4.50.43
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton1.2725.35%0.220.421.911.9141.61%No5.10.37
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield0.819.96%0.1100.911.9110.10%Rotation5.10.37
Danny WardGoalkeeperLeicester00.00%0.150.740.891.8918.52%Rotation4.30.44
Rachid GhezzalMidfielderLeicester0.6813.64%0.070.120.871.8711.78%Rotation5.10.37
Jacob MurphyMidfielderNewcastle United0.7114.23%0.090.070.871.876.94%Rotation4.80.39
Connor WickhamForwardCrystal Palace1.4636.39%0.401.861.8644.68%No4.90.38
Cenk TosunForwardEverton1.4736.86%0.3901.861.8641.61%No6.50.29
Jose Luis Mato SanmartinForwardNewcastle United0.7518.72%0.1100.861.866.94%Rotation4.80.39
Isaac MbenzaMidfielderHuddersfield0.6713.50%0.070.10.841.8410.10%Rotation5.90.31
Kieran DowellMidfielderEverton1.224.00%0.220.421.831.8341.61%No4.50.41
Kortney HauseDefenderWolves0.427.06%0.031.371.831.8334.33%No40.46
Phil FodenMidfielderMan City1.1422.87%0.190.491.821.8248.52%No4.60.4
Michel VormGoalkeeperSpurs00.00%01.821.821.8245.50%No4.80.38
Paulo GazzanigaGoalkeeperSpurs00.00%01.821.821.8245.50%No4.50.4
Alfie WhitemanGoalkeeperSpurs00.00%01.821.821.8245.50%No40.45
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City1.1422.84%0.180.491.811.8148.52%No5.40.34
Yoshinori MutoForwardNewcastle United0.7117.76%0.0900.81.86.94%Rotation5.60.32
Julian SperoniGoalkeeperCrystal Palace00.00%01.791.791.7944.68%No40.45
Vicente GuaitaGoalkeeperCrystal Palace00.00%01.791.791.7944.68%No4.20.43
Jordan AyewForwardCrystal Palace1.4135.20%0.3801.781.7844.68%No5.70.31
Alexander SørlothForwardCrystal Palace1.434.98%0.3701.771.7744.68%No4.80.37
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.58.35%0.041.211.761.7630.35%No4.10.43
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham1.3834.51%0.3801.761.7623.69%No5.40.33
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle United0.611.97%0.060.070.731.736.94%Rotation5.10.34
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton1.3734.36%0.3601.731.7330.35%No5.60.31
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield0.5611.26%0.050.10.721.7210.10%Rotation4.70.36
Jannik VestergaardDefenderSouthampton0.477.81%0.041.211.721.7230.35%No4.60.37
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton0.489.57%0.040.180.71.717.95%Rotation4.80.35
Yves BissoumaMidfielderBrighton0.489.66%0.040.180.71.717.95%Rotation4.70.36
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton0.447.29%0.041.211.691.6930.35%No4.20.4
Nathaniel ChalobahMidfielderWatford0.489.50%0.040.180.691.6917.78%Rotation4.50.38
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth0.233.83%0.020.420.681.6810.58%Rotation4.40.38
Beram KayalMidfielderBrighton0.458.96%0.040.180.671.6717.95%Rotation4.40.38
Maarten StekelenburgGoalkeeperEverton00.00%01.661.661.6641.61%No40.42
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton0.46.61%0.031.211.641.6430.35%No3.90.42
Tyreke JohnsonMidfielderSouthampton1.1322.68%0.20.31.631.6330.35%4.50.36
Bonatini Lohner Maia BonatiniForwardWolves1.3132.81%0.3101.631.6334.33%No4.70.35
Florin AndoneForwardBrighton1.2932.24%0.3301.621.6217.95%No50.32
Oumar NiasseForwardEverton1.3333.33%0.2901.621.6241.61%No50.32
Petr CechGoalkeeperArsenal00.00%01.611.611.6140.29%No4.90.33
Emiliano MartinezGoalkeeperArsenal00.00%01.611.611.6140.29%No40.4
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle United0.315.13%0.030.280.611.616.94%Rotation4.50.36
Michael ObafemiForwardSouthampton1.332.48%0.3101.611.6130.35%No50.32
Lucas PerezForwardWest Ham1.2832.06%0.3101.591.5923.69%No6.20.26
Thibaut CourtoisGoalkeeperChelsea00.00%01.581.581.5839.45%No5.50.29
Willy CaballeroGoalkeeperChelsea00.00%01.581.581.5839.45%No4.70.34
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton1.0921.84%0.170.31.571.5730.35%No50.31
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMidfielderWolves1.0721.34%0.160.341.571.5734.33%No4.30.36
Ander HerreraMidfielderMan United0.8517.00%0.110.61.561.5659.95%No50.31
Floyd AyiteMidfielderFulham1.121.92%0.180.271.551.5526.77%No4.30.36
Joe PowellMidfielderWest Ham1.121.92%0.160.241.51.523.69%No4.50.33
Scott McTominayMidfielderMan United0.7815.66%0.10.61.481.4859.95%No4.20.35
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace0.918.04%0.110.451.461.4644.68%No4.30.34
Ryan John GilesMidfielderWolves0.9719.46%0.130.341.441.4434.33%No4.50.32
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham0.426.95%0.030.951.41.423.69%No4.20.33
Neeskens KebanoMidfielderFulham0.9719.46%0.150.271.391.3926.77%No4.40.32
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea0.8817.51%0.10.391.371.3739.45%No6.20.22
John RuddyGoalkeeperWolves00.00%01.371.371.3734.33%No4.30.32
Will NorrisGoalkeeperWolves00.00%01.371.371.3734.33%No40.34
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley0.46.67%0.040.921.361.3623.02%No4.20.32
Ben GibsonDefenderBurnley0.376.21%0.030.921.331.3323.02%No4.80.28
Oliver SkippMidfielderSpurs0.7514.99%0.080.451.291.2945.50%No4.50.29
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley0.294.90%0.030.921.241.2423.02%No4.20.3
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth1.0325.84%0.201.231.2310.58%No5.60.22
Matej VydraForwardBurnley1.0325.77%0.1901.231.2323.02%No5.70.21
Aboubakar KamaraForwardFulham1.0425.90%0.201.231.2326.77%No4.40.28
Leon BalogunDefenderBrighton0.457.47%0.040.721.211.2117.95%No4.20.29
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderChelsea0.8116.22%00.391.211.2139.45%No4.70.26
Fraser ForsterGoalkeeperSouthampton00.00%01.211.211.2130.35%No4.30.28
Angus GunnGoalkeeperSouthampton00.00%01.211.211.2130.35%No4.30.28
Ainsley Maitland-NilesMidfielderArsenal0.7214.39%0.080.41.21.240.29%No4.40.27
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton0.7915.89%0.10.31.191.1930.35%No4.60.26
Andre GrayForwardWatford125.04%0.1901.191.1917.78%No5.90.2
Kenneth ZohoreForwardCardiff0.9924.67%0.1801.171.1718.52%No4.60.25
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton0.386.31%0.060.721.161.1617.95%No3.80.3
Marc NavarroDefenderWatford0.427.00%0.030.711.161.1617.78%No4.30.27
Dwight McNeilMidfielderBurnley0.8116.24%0.110.231.151.1523.02%No4.40.26
Jurgen LocadiaForwardBrighton0.9724.22%0.1801.141.1417.95%No5.30.22
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford0.9724.32%0.1701.141.1417.78%No50.23
Matthew ConnollyDefenderCardiff0.365.93%0.030.741.131.1318.52%No3.80.3
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton0.6513.00%0.060.421.131.1341.61%No4.40.26
Nathaniel Mendez-LaingMidfielderCardiff0.8216.48%0.10.191.111.1118.52%No4.80.23
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford0.46.67%00.711.111.1117.78%No4.20.26
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford0.46.67%00.711.111.1117.78%No4.40.25
Ben WilmotDefenderWatford0.365.93%0.030.711.11.117.78%No40.27
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford0.345.70%0.030.711.081.0817.78%No4.20.26
Marcus BettinelliGoalkeeperFulham00.00%01.071.071.0726.77%No4.40.24
Fabricio Agosto RamirezGoalkeeperFulham00.00%01.071.071.0726.77%No4.30.25
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton0.5811.67%0.060.421.061.0641.61%No4.20.25
Ken SemaMidfielderWatford0.7815.64%0.10.181.061.0617.78%No4.60.23
Ben WhiteDefenderBrighton0.35.08%0.030.721.051.0517.95%40.26
Mohamed ElnenyMidfielderArsenal0.5811.56%0.060.41.041.0440.29%No4.30.24
Oleksandr ZinchenkoMidfielderMan City0.5210.34%0.040.491.041.0448.52%No4.70.22
Domingos QuinaMidfielderWatford0.7715.33%0.090.181.041.0417.78%No4.40.24
Bernardo Fernandes da Silva JuniorDefenderBrighton0.284.65%0.030.721.031.0317.95%No4.20.24
Fousseni DiabateMidfielderLeicester0.8116.14%0.10.121.031.0311.78%No4.60.22
Gary MadineForwardCardiff0.8922.14%0.1301.021.0218.52%No4.40.23
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton0.34.92%00.721.011.0117.95%No3.80.27
Martin MontoyaDefenderBrighton0.254.20%0.030.721117.95%No4.30.23
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester0.8621.51%0.1301111.78%No5.20.19
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford0.264.40%0.030.711117.78%No4.20.24
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth0.8621.40%0.1400.990.9910.58%No4.90.2
Lee PeltierDefenderCardiff0.233.82%0.020.740.990.9918.52%No3.80.26
Ashley Darel Jazz RichardsDefenderCardiff0.233.81%0.020.740.990.9918.52%No3.90.25
Adrian San Miguel del CastilloGoalkeeperWest Ham00.00%00.950.950.9523.69%No4.30.22
Ethan AmpaduMidfielderChelsea0.59.97%0.040.390.930.9339.45%No4.40.21
Oriol Romeu VidalMidfielderSouthampton0.5811.53%0.050.30.930.9330.35%No4.30.22
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth0.7314.53%0.090.110.920.9210.58%No50.18
Tom HeatonGoalkeeperBurnley00.00%00.920.920.9223.02%No4.80.19
Nick PopeGoalkeeperBurnley00.00%00.920.920.9223.02%No4.90.19
Anders LindegaardGoalkeeperBurnley00.00%00.920.920.9223.02%No4.40.21
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth0.7114.19%0.090.110.90.910.58%No4.30.21
Leander DendonckerMidfielderWolves0.469.29%0.040.340.840.8434.33%No4.30.2
Jon Gorenc StankovicDefenderHuddersfield0.46.59%0.030.40.830.8310.10%No3.90.21
Beni BaningimeMidfielderEverton0.48.00%00.420.820.8241.61%No4.30.19
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford0.5911.73%0.050.180.810.8117.78%No50.16
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester0.34.99%0.030.470.80.811.78%No4.20.19
Diego RicoDefenderBournemouth0.335.46%0.030.420.780.7810.58%No4.20.19
Josh KnightDefenderLeicester0.284.61%0.020.470.770.7711.78%40.19
Conor CoventryMidfielderWest Ham0.499.74%0.040.240.760.7623.69%No4.50.17
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley0.489.65%0.040.230.750.7523.02%No5.40.14
Alex SmithiesGoalkeeperCardiff00.00%00.740.740.7418.52%No4.30.17
Brian MurphyGoalkeeperCardiff00.00%00.740.740.7418.52%No40.19
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderHuddersfield0.5811.70%0.060.10.740.7410.10%No4.70.16
Caglar SoyuncuDefenderLeicester0.254.15%0.020.470.740.7411.78%No4.90.15
Jack SimpsonDefenderBournemouth0.274.50%0.020.420.720.7210.58%No3.80.19
David ButtonGoalkeeperBrighton00.00%00.720.720.7217.95%No40.18
Jason SteeleGoalkeeperBrighton00.00%00.720.720.7217.95%No40.18
Heurelho GomesGoalkeeperWatford00.00%00.710.710.7117.78%No4.30.17
Pontus DahlbergGoalkeeperWatford00.00%00.710.710.7117.78%No4.40.16
Tyrone MingsDefenderBournemouth0.243.96%0.020.420.680.6810.58%No4.30.16
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester0.172.84%0.020.470.660.6611.78%No4.20.16
Ibrahima CisseMidfielderFulham0.326.50%0.030.270.620.6226.77%No4.40.14
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester0.469.21%0.040.120.620.6211.78%No4.70.13
Loïc DamourMidfielderCardiff0.387.53%0.030.190.590.5918.52%No4.30.14
Elias KachungaForwardHuddersfield0.5213.10%0.0500.580.5810.10%No4.80.12
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield0.5112.86%0.0400.560.5610.10%No4.30.13
Sung-yueng KiMidfielderNewcastle United0.459.00%0.040.070.560.566.94%No4.70.12
Sean LongstaffMidfielderNewcastle United0.458.93%0.040.070.560.566.94%No4.50.12
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth0.48.09%0.030.110.540.5410.58%No4.60.12
Adrien Sebastian Perruchet SilvaMidfielderLeicester0.377.45%0.040.120.530.5311.78%No4.80.11
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle United0.233.85%0.020.280.530.536.94%No4.40.12
Juninho BacunaMidfielderHuddersfield0.377.50%0.030.10.510.5110.10%No4.30.12
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle United0.23.26%0.020.280.490.496.94%No4.30.11
Eldin JakupovicGoalkeeperLeicester00.00%00.470.470.4711.78%No4.40.11
Jamie SterryDefenderNewcastle United0.172.84%0.020.280.470.476.94%No40.12
Hamza ChoudhuryMidfielderLeicester0.295.78%0.020.120.430.4311.78%No4.30.1
Artur BorucGoalkeeperBournemouth00.00%00.420.420.4210.58%No40.11
Ben HamerGoalkeeperHuddersfield00.00%00.40.40.410.10%No40.1
Ryan SchofieldGoalkeeperHuddersfield00.00%00.40.40.410.10%No40.1
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle United0.316.12%0.020.070.40.46.94%No4.30.09
Robert ElliotGoalkeeperNewcastle United00.00%00.280.280.286.94%No4.30.06
Karl DarlowGoalkeeperNewcastle United00.00%00.280.280.286.94%No4.40.06
Frederick WoodmanGoalkeeperNewcastle United00.00%00.280.280.286.94%No40.07

Defenders

Marcos Alonso – 20.47%

Have you seen his free kicks? That is why Alonso is so highly rated to score, give the Spaniard a free kick on the right from 20 yards out, and its a coin toss whether it goes in or not. Interestingly enough with Hazard likely to start, Alonso is still the highest likely defender to score, he may not push forward as much but he’s still a great option on the overlap and could get more space with opposition defenders doubling up on the Belgian.

Leighton Baines – 15.83%

A rare sight to see an Everton player at having a decent chance to score. Bookies must think that Leighton Baines is on Penalties and Free Kicks, but with  Siggy and Rooney there, that won’t be the case. The 32-year-old has failed to register a shot in 540 minutes of Premier League football, and doesn’t dribble as much as he used to back in his heyday. A spent talent, Baines. Dare I say his probability should be lower.

Alfie Mawson – 14.22%

Alfie Mawson recently gave an interview on SkySports down at a market selling fish, and he looked more at place asking for a euro for a hostel, than in a Premier League side. Despite his tracksuit and his fishmonger looks, Alfie Mawson is one of the Premier League’s most likely scorer’s this game week from defence against Watford. Last season he managed 4 goals in 27 starts, could he repeat it this week?

Capture.PNG

‘Alri bud, do ya have a eura for a hostel there fella’

Laurent Koscielny – 13.22%

Given that Kolasinac has been superb for Arsenal so far this year, the bookies favor Koscielny as Arsenals most likely goalscorer in defence. I guess the bookies took heed of Garth Crooks’ comparison of the Bosnian to a toilet. Koscielny, despite his small size for a center-back in the Premier League, nearly always notches a few goals from set pieces in a season and could repeat the feat late on Monday night.

TeamImplied ProbabilityAverage OddsMax OddsExp. Points
Everton35.82%2.792.91.43
Brighton25.51%3.924.11.02
Fulham43.27%2.312.361.73
Huddersfield27.66%3.623.81.11
Leicester47.46%2.112.171.9
Cardiff18.05%5.545.90.72
Spurs51.23%1.952.052.05
Wolves12.61%7.938.30.5
Watford41.60%2.42.51.66
Newcastle United22.32%4.484.750.89
Liverpool39.53%2.532.651.58
Arsenal12.33%8.118.60.49
Chelsea41.08%2.432.551.64
Crystal Palace18.66%5.365.60.75
West Ham33.19%3.013.151.33
Burnley25.48%3.934.051.02
Man City49.12%2.042.151.96
Southampton10.58%9.45100.42
Man United47.26%2.122.161.89
Bournemouth10.95%9.13100.44

In Conclusion:

Shano: Aguero is the ‘must have’ this week. Palace can’t defend and Aguero is literally [Shano wrote this, but I included it because of the use of literal] on fire at the moment. The rule of ” Always captain Aguero” may not be said as much this year due to so many alternative options, but this week he’s definitely one to captain.

Paddy: There are a lot of very likely scorers this week, having seen the clean sheet post I guess that was expected. Riveting analysis, I know.

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