Goalscorer Probabilities – Gameweek 11 – Odds On #FPL

This week’s post is brought to you by Dan ‘Chic’ Reidy. Dan has posted on multiple websites and has been a major contributor to previous sites which Paddy has worked on such as PACBetting, IrishTipster and his own Horse Racing website TheInsideTrack, so a quality is expected here which is second to none. Secondly, we have a shout to the fashionista, Dele Alli, who is this week’s poster-child, the dynamic midfielder scored two against Real Madrid, but has really struggled to impose himself against much greater sides like Bournemouth this season.

Finally, for the intro part, I’d just like to thank everyone who has been involved and has kept on reading so far. We’ve gone through 11 weeks so far and will continue till the season’s end. Thanks again.

[table “148” not found /]


Having missed out on Spurs’ defeat to Manchester United in GW10, Harry Kane looks set to make his reappearance in GW11. Harold was passed fit midweek ahead of their game against Real Madrid and this weekend’s home fixture against Crystal Palace looks an ideal one to ease him back into Premier League duties. Crystal Palace have conceded 12 goals in 5 away games thus far and the stage looks set for Harry Kane to add some more insult to injury post-Halloween.

Sergio Aguero didn’t play any part in the Manchester City win in GW10 vs West Brom, we shouldn’t see a repeat of this in GW11 with Manchester City at home to Arsenal. I’d expect Aguero to start providing he comes away from his midweek fixture injury free. Sergio recently equaled a 78-year club record with a penalty in the 3-0 win over Burnley that saw him move alongside Eric Brook with 177 goals.

Despite not getting on the scoresheet in GW10 away to Arsenal. Tammy Abraham put in an impressive performance away from home. The 20-year-old had an assist and also had a goal ruled out for offside. With Swansea getting a bit more effective on the counter-attack, Abraham is finding space in behind defences. He is one to keep an eye on and may be the one to fill the 3rd striker position on your starting XI. With Swansea at home to Brighton this gameweek I wouldn’t be surprised to see Abraham among the scorers.

[table “149” not found /]


Leroy Sane had a slow start for Manchester City having only started 1 of their first 6 games but he has certainly come to life in recent gameweeks. With 5 goals and 7 assists and 3 of those goals in the last 3 gameweeks, he is a man on form. Even with the Pep lottery factor, I can’t see why Pep would consider dropping Sane with the form he is in coming into the busier months of the season.

Mohamed Salah looks a good option to get amongst the scorers against a West Ham side that are in a bad place at the moment. The Hammers have won only two of their opening 10 games and currently sit just a point above the relegation zone in 16th place. With 2 points dropped at Crystal Palace last weekend, confidence levels are low at the London Stadium. Salah is often criticised for his poor finishing (we did it last week) and I reckon he will come good with time.

Aaron Mooy is the leading FPL point scorer so far for Huddersfield this season. He popped up with a goal in their 2-1 win over Manchester United in GW9, and scored the winner against Newcastle too early on in the season. I miss those Rob Elliot points Mooy. The Aussie could come up trumps again with the added £5 motivation that a young Huddersfield fan had sent him. 

[table “150” not found /]


Leighton Baines was a good option in previous seasons for popping up with a goal or an assist every couple of weeks, but that was previous seasons. So far this season he hasn’t done anything worth mentioning and with a 5.8million price tag, I’m of the opinion your money is best spent elsewhere.

Kyle Walker has a price tag of 6.6million and for that, you’d be hoping to get some attacking returns as well as a clean sheet most weeks.  He obliged with an assist in GW10 for his owners. Having completed the full 90 minutes each week since GW4 he looks fairly nailed on to start. *Touch wood*

Southampton host Burnley this weekend and it looks set to be a fairly dull encounter from a Southampton perspective at least. Southampton have only kept one clean sheet at home this season and they haven’t exactly been testing the nets at the other end of the field in recent weeks either. One man who may test the nets from a dead ball scenario is Virgil van Dijk. He’s been practicing his free kicks as you will see below. He’s one to keep an eye on if he gets to nod to take the free kicks for the Saints. 

[table “151” not found /]

[Total: 0    Average: 0/5]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *