Goalscorer Probabilities – Gameweek 1 #FPL

Guess who’s back? Back again. FPL is back and tell your friends. The opening Gameweek is upon us and there is no time like the present to get your FPL dilemmas sorted. Just when you need it, we’re here with our weekly posts on anytime goalscorer probability for FPL. So lets get to it, below is your goalscorer probability for FPL.


While their preseason may have been nothing to write home about, Man Utd still top the clean sheet table for this opening fixture. Taking this in to account, Eric Bailly priced @ 5.5m is worth considering as a long-term option in your team. The opening fixtures for United are kind and Bailly could easily get some clean sheet points. Perhaps even some assist or goal scoring points also. Also worth considering is Luke Shaw @ 5.0m. The English former wonderkid has stalled in his growth over the last few seasons, due to injury, lack of form and pies. 2018/19 could be his season given Ashley Young‘s world cup appearance. If he performs and nails down a spot he could be one of the signings of the season. Though he has never scored a goal at club level, which makes him not all that attractive as a goalscoring probability.

Mamadou Sakho is a defender that interests me in the 5.0m price bracket. Sakho should start and the opening 9 fixtures are favourable If you can look past the GW2 fixture vs Liverpool. Palace face newly-promoted Fulham at the weekend. This is the type of fixture Palace should be aiming to win this season if they wish to finish in the top half. Sahko’s team mate, Patrick Van Aanholt has been linked with a move to Juventus as of late. Given his goalscoring form at the end of last season he could also come up trumps. The Dutch wing back is slightly more expensive than Sahko, at 5.5m, but offers more of an attacking threat than his French defensive partner.

A player which has certainly gone under the radar for a lot of FPL players is Aaron Wan-Bissaka. The young right wing-back is only 4.0m in game and could be a starting player for Crystal Palace this season. Given his competition is Joel Ward, you may be inclined to believe he’ll start more often than not.


Many of us will have been pondering over the same dilemma for the past number of weeks; Salah or no Salah? On one hand, you have Salah and are prepared for when he grabs a hat-trick on the opening day. While on the other, there is also the chance it will take him a few weeks to find his form following the World Cup. Is it a chance worth taking on leaving him out of your team? That is one only you can decide? I myself will be a Salah owner for Gameweek 1 as the fear of not having him for a home fixture vs West Ham is too much for me to handle.

Ryan Fraser priced @ 5.5m is an option worth considering for your 4th or 5th midfielder position on your team. Scoring 97 points last season I expect him to build on this for the coming season. An opening fixture vs Cardiff should give us a better perspective as to what to expect from Fraser for the coming season. I think he is decent value @ 5.5m. Liverpool fans fear the Scottish winger, but can he turn his form against Liverpool into consistent numbers? Or will he join Dwight Gayle as being only decent against the Reds?


Lastly, we have the forwards. These are the line in your team that you trust to bang in the goals on a weekly basis. Whilst also being responsible for your surge to the top in your various leagues. Firstly, I would like to introduce Charlie Austin who I think is very reasonably priced @ 6.0M. The opening 6 fixtures are favourable and it would be no surprise to me to see him among the goals in the opening weeks. There is a slight worry that he may not start for Southampton given Mark Hughes being Mark Hughes, but he is without a doubt the most natural scorer in the Southampton ranks. With a home fixture against Burnley, who are likely to start a hapless Joe Hart in goal, would you look beyond Austin scoring?

In the 11.0M price bracket you have the choice between Aguero or Aubameyang. Having considered his record in the Premier League to date one would have to favour the Argentinian. He has a proven goalscoring record in the league and is a viable long-term option. With Man City odds on with the bookies to win the league, one can assume that Aguero will have a major part to play in the season ahead. Having scored his 200th and 201st goal for City in the Charity shield, he could score his 202nd against Arsenal. I wouldn’t doubt it.

[Total: 14    Average: 3.4/5]

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