Goalscorer Probabilities and Expected Points – Gameweek 29

With Spurs beating Rochdale on Wednesday they officially are out of the running of playing in Game Week 31. Last night Manchester City showed their class once more against an Arsenal side far their inferior, but something to consider was that Gabriel Jesus made a return from injury, potentially making Sergio Aguero’s position become rotational over the coming weeks. With the title all but wrapped up the Argentine’s starting XI spot may be kept for the Champions League nights. This week’s most likely point scorers come from Spurs and Liverpool, with Mohamed Salah again miles ahead of Harry Kane with 1.03 points more than the Spurs talisman. Salah tops the list with 7.06, with no other players having 6 or more expected points this game week, you’d be daft to choose a differential, especially given his consistency this season.


Harry Kane tops the scoring charts and this week’s charts again for a striker with 6.03 points. With a late winner against Palace last week, in what could be seen as predictable by many, the Englishman finished on a high note after missing many glorious opportunities. Harry should be looking to continue his fine form against Huddersfield. Though a little bit of me thinks Poch may consider resting him with a crucial home tie against Juventus coming up.

Pierre Emerick Aubameyang may have missed a penalty against City last night and dropped 0.1m in the process overnight, but the Gabonese international has the quality in his possession to score for any side in the world. Despite Arsenal’s poor showing and the media giving them nothing but abuse since the League Cup final, the former Dortmund man will be looking for a good run in the league due to being cup-tied in the Europa League. Arsenal play Brighton, Watford, Stoke, Southampton, Newcastle and then West Ham in their 6 next league ties, you’d be expecting PEA to score at least 18 in this ties.


Mohamed Salah needs nothing to be said apart from, sign him and captain him.

Spurs midfielder, Son, Alli and Eriksen all rank highly this week, with Son coming out on top with 5.79 points. There has been some rotation in the ranks as of late so be careful when choosing. Son played 67 minutes, Alli was subbed on, and Eriksen sat on the bench. If you wanted to play it safely, Eriksen most likely will play 90 against Huddersfield.


Virgil Van Dijk comes with a hefty price tag in the game and in reality. While VVD hasn’t kept many clean sheets as of late for Liverpool, but his strength and composure has somewhat enhanced Liverpool’s attacking ability due to other players being more scope to attack with him behind him than before. Emre Can is one of the main benefactors. He is a tank who will only improve with time.

With Serge Aurier getting banned in Europe for fouling a lot, he is nailed on in the Premier League for the foreseeable future. He missed a sitter last week and doesn’t know how to throw in a football, but he has undeniable talent hidden behind a knack for fouling. The Ivorian bombs down the flanks and almost plays as a right-winger. A definite differential.

[table “262” not found /]
[Total: 0    Average: 0/5]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

error: Content is protected !!