Goalscorer Probabilities and Expected Points – Gameweek 28

With only 11 more weeks in the season, we are unsurprised to see Mohamed Salah top of the expected point scorers for GW28 closely followed by Harry Kane, two players who could be arguably considered essential in the run in. Salah is head and shoulders above the rest of the league with 7.67 expected points, followed by Harry Kane at 6.08, with Mane close behind at 6.04. A week for Spurs and Liverpool players.


Roberto Firmino represents good value @ 9.3M following the exit of Phillipe Coutinho. With Salah also in the side, it allows Firmino to play in a more advanced role in the side. He has picked up 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 Premier League starts.

Callum Wilson represents a cheap 3rd striker option at just 6M. Bournemouth faces Newcastle in GW28 and the following fixtures are quite appealing too. He could easily pick up a couple of goals between now and the end of March.


If you do not have Salah in your team at this stage in the season then you need to have a serious chat with yourself about your FPL future. Salah is a must have for every team at the moment. He is in the form of his life and pulling the strings in the Liverpool attack. He has the ability to pop up with a goal against any opposition. He could easily bag 2 or 3 vs West Ham here on Saturday.

Raheem Sterling is my selection in the Man City midfield this week. Sterling is 1.6M cheaper than De Bruyne at the moment which helps if you want to get a big name in your squad. I’m sure Man City will be keen to make amends following their exit in the FA Cup midweek.


Virgil Van Dijk is expected to be the highest scoring defender according to the bookmakers in GW28. Liverpool are at home to West Ham on Saturday afternoon and they should be able to keep a clean sheet against a Hammers’ side who often struggle in front of goal.

Craig Dawson is my punt of the week for GW28. He popped up with a goal in GW23 and has played at least 60 minutes in all the games he has featured in this season. West Brom are at home to Huddersfield and I’d expect this game to be a pretty dull contestby all accounts. Might be worth a fiver on the 0-0 🙂

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