Goalscorer Probabilities and Expected Points – Gameweek 19 #FPL

We’ve almost reached the half way point of the FPL season and some things have become noticeable so far. With premium midfielders outperforming strikers so far its looking smarter to invest heavily in midfield than in offense. With players like Salah (135 points), Sterling (112) and cheap options like Richarlison (85) and Gross (84) out performing a lot of the more expensive options like Kane (97) Lukaku (94) and Aguero (86) money may be better spent further back in your team this season, than any season before.

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With Gabriel Jesus playing 120 minutes midweek for Man City, Sergio Aguero looks a viable option for any of you that want a 1 week punt going in to the Christmas period. If you have already offloaded Harry Kane you may have the remaining funds to go with this speculative move.

As I mentioned above, Southampton look like they may have turned a corner. Charlie Austin is an ideal price at 6.2M for those looking to fill the 3rd striker position in their squad.

Wayne Rooney is also a man on form at the minute. Everton face Chelsea at the weekend but Rooney has to ability to pop up with a goal when its least expected. He will be on penalty duties and since Big Sam has joined, Everton look a rejuvenated side.

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Paul Merson does not have Mohamed Salah in his Team of the Season so far but I find it hard to compile this article without mentioning the Egyptian talisman.  There’s not much else I can say about him. Ive mentioned him in this article for the past number of gameweeks and he hasn’t really disappointed me yet. He’s effectively a must have in any FPL team at the moment.

Eden Hazard looks a viable captain choice for this coming gameweek with FPL players slowly but surely losing faith in Harry Kane. Chelsea travel to Everton in the early kick off on Saturday.

Raheem Sterling popped up with 2 late goals when Man City disposed of Spurs with a scoreline 4-1. At 8.5M he is certainly good value compared to other options in the middle. The English winger was racially abused prior to the Spurs game and responded to the assault in the best way possible in scoring twice. Sterling is this week’s most likely point scorer too, and after getting a rest midweek he surely will start for Pep.

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As with most gameweeks, Manchester City seem to be fairly prominent in the FPL points scoring tables at both ends of the pitch. They can score plenty and they’re decent at keeping the goal out of their own net also. Nicolas Otamendi looks a good option for Man City defensive coverage as the blue half of Manchester entertain Bournmouth on Saturday afternoon.

Ryan Bertrand was a player I got good returns from in previous FPL seasons and he has a place in my FPL heart. Southampton are at home to Huddersfield this gameweek and Southampton look like they have turned a corner in recent weeks. Bertrand offers a decent attacking threat also, but Cedric and Bertrand are both injury risks for the fixture. Be careful if getting in a Southampton defender.

Marcos Alonso is slowly buy surely justifying his FPL price tag for those that have kept the faith with him. He may be the most expensive defender in the game but his attacking threats going forward are certainly worth considering if you have the cash to spare.

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