Arsenal face a Burnley side which struggled massively against north London rivals Tottenham in gameweek 17. The Clarets had 4 shots over 90 minutes against Spurs, a statistic which I don’t believe having been almost bored to death over 90 minutes which could easily have been compared to torture. Arsenal’s unbeaten streak came to an end over the weekend with a 3-2 loss to Southampton, in spite of this Arsenal have a 55.68% chance of a clean sheet.
Chelsea host Leicester in gameweek 18. The Foxes have struggled for goals over the last 6 game weeks, failing to score in 3 of those fixtures. They have blanked against Crystal Palace, Spurs and Burnley in that time. Chelsea on the other hand have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 4 home fixtures in all competitions. Two sides with contrasting form couldn’t have matched better. With the majority of Leicester fans calling for Claude Puel’s head after their most recent 1-0 loss it seems his time is up. Chelsea assets to look out for include Marcos Alonso and Antonio Rudiger. Both defenders offer a decent chance of an attacking output, bonus points and clean sheet points over the coming weeks. Chelsea have a 53.19% chance of a clean sheet for GW18.
Crystal Palace managed to do something which had seemed almost impossible prior to this week, they won a fixture with Wilfried Zaha. In spite of this Palace come up against a Man City side which almost always score. Roy Hogson’s side are ranked lowest this week with a 5.71% chance of a clean sheet.
Cardiff come up against a Manchester United side. In game week 17 the Welsh side conceded 3 goals against a Watford side which have been in horrid form as of late. At home Cardiff have performed well, winning 4 of their last 5 home league matches. In spite of this they have only kept a clean sheet once in their last 8 home fixtures. The bluebirds have a 17.50% of keeping a clean sheet against
Mourinho’s side. While it is unknown who the new manager will be just yet, I would assume an interim will at least attempt to play attacking football in the absence of the much derided defensive minded Mourinho.
Honorable mentions: Burnley 7.14% / Leicester 11.48%.
|Team||Team||Implied Probability||Average Odds||Max Odds||Exp. Points|
|Man City||Man City||57.24%||1.75||1.83||2.29|
|Man United||Man Utd||44.64%||2.24||2.3||1.79|
|West Ham||West Ham||31.01%||3.23||3.4||1.24|
|Crystal Palace||Crystal Palace||5.71%||17.5||19||0.23|