Clean Sheet Probabilities Gameweek 37 – #FPL

Game week 37 is the final hurdle of the season in which many will be hoping to either hold onto their position or finally move ahead of league rivals. One thing you do have to consider is that the vast majority of players have given up at this stage, which automatically gives you an advantage. With Liverpool getting into the Champions League final it is unknown how strong a side they will play in their remaining fixtures. Manchester City will most likely rotate in defence. Manchester United may rotate with the cup final. Arsenal may field a stronger XI knowing they’re not in the Europa League final. Overall, its a headache disguised as an opportunity. 


Manchester City have what many would consider two easy fixtures in game week 37. In their first fixture of the game week they have a 69.78% chance of keeping a clean sheet against Huddersfield, and against Brighton, they have a 68.03% chance of keeping a clean sheet. With what may look like an easy decision to bring in a City defender, only one of their assets is nailed on, Ederson. Kompany is always an injury risk, Walker could be out for the season, Otamendi could be rotated and Delph is a midfielder in the game. Kompany and Walker were pictured in training, it could be false hope, stick or twist, it is your choice.

Spurs have a 48.83% probability of keeping a clean sheet against West Brom away, while against Newcastle at home they have a 54.86% chance of keeping a cleanie. Alderweireld will likely leave this during the summer, meaning Sanchez and Vertongen will likely start at centre-back. The two full backs will also likely rotate during the game week, Rose is looking for minutes before the world cup, and Aurier will likely get minutes at right back. The only suggestion I would advise for the game week is Vertongen. Lloris has been out of form as of late, making blunders, so a hit may not be advisable.


West Brom only have one fixture in gameweek 37 against Spurs. With Harry Kane looking for the golden boot, and West Brom all but mathematically relegated its unlikely they will keep a clean sheet. Get rid of the assets, I mean you should have months ago, but like, get rid of them now.

Despite the fact Huddersfield have two fixtures in game week 37 their defenders are incredibly unlikely to keep clean sheets, with only a 5.00% chance of keeping a clean sheet against Man City away, and in their second fixture, they’re only an 8.84% chance of keeping a clean sheet away to Chelsea. Two tough fixtures and a side fighting for their lives against much strong quality opposition can only mean one thing, no clean sheets.

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