Clean Sheet Probabilities – FPL Gameweek 28

DO’S

Manchester City face a West Ham team that have been poor defensively throughout the season. City have been lucky with cup draws so far this season that they can afford to rotate for the cups whilst also playing their strongest 11 in the league. Unfortunately it seemed that ever present Laporte picked up a knock in the League Cup, with Kompany replacing him. The French defender pulled up after chasing Eden Hazard in the last minutes of the first half, while Fernandinho suffered a groin injury towards the end of normal time. The severity of the injury is unknown, but with Stones still injured and Laporte seemingly out for a number of weeks, Kompany could be back in the side over the coming gameweeks. City have a 56.29% chance of a clean sheet against West Ham on Wednesday.

Liverpool play Watford in gameweek 28, a fixture which the bookies expect Liverpool to comfortably win in. In spite of bookie’s speculation, as of late the two sides seem in contrasting form. Liverpool will have to perform well against a Watford side which scored 5 goals last week away from home. Deulofeu, Deeney and injuries could mean Liverpool could come unstuck against the London side. The reds have a 52.05% chance of a clean sheet, this week’s second highest expectancy.

DONT’S

Bournemouth play away to Arsenal in a game which screams goals. The gunners won 2-0 at home to Southampton, and while the Saints don’t possess the same attacking threat as the Cherries, you would think both sides harness similar calibres of defence. Since Bournemouth’s 4-0 demolition against Chelsea, they have lost 2-0 to Cardiff, 3-0 to Liverpool and drawn 1-1 against Wolves. Against Arsenal they are also likely to concede, with only a 11.69% chance of keeping a clean sheet. Boruc will likely get some save points here.

Both Watford and West Ham play away to the leading duo, and both sides have less than a 10% chance of achieving a clean sheet, with West Ham only having a 5.56% chance of a clean sheet in gameweek 28. It’d be advisable to leave your defensive assets from these sides firmly on your bench.

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