Clean Sheet Probabilities – FPL Gameweek 27

Gameweek 27 offers something different to the previous FPL game week with only 8 fixtures being played due to the League Cup. Big hitters Man City, big losers Chelsea, and mid-table sides Brighton and Everton blank in GW27. Which makes it slightly more interesting for FPL managers who have suffered without Aguero and Sterling over the last few weeks.

DO’S

Spurs face Burnley away from home in a fixture which normally ends up with Tottenham keeping a clean sheet. In their last 3 away fixtures Spurs have won 3-0, 2-0 and drawn 0-0, a dream fixture historically for FPL managers. If you’re using your free hit chip a Spurs defender is a must have. With Trippier and Lloris looking like the two most likely candidates to play they would be our suggestions for this week’s team. Tottenham may have Harry Kane back, with reports suggesting the English talisman is back early from injury. Normally Kane takes a number of weeks to get back to fitness, I’d avoid transferring him into my FPL side for this one. With Spurs somehow managing to keep out Dortmund in their 1st leg of their round of 16 tie, they’ll be confident they can repeat against Burnley.

Newcastle should get a deserved clean sheet in gameweek 27 against Huddersfield. The Toon Army were left without the spoils after a 95th minute equaliser by Willy Boly. Late goals were common against my FPL team last game week. Dubravka would have been one of the most disappointed players having saved 4 shots and being so close to a clean sheet. Huddersfield are unlikely to trouble away from home. The Terriers have scored 8 times away from home, the worst tally in the league. It is early days for Jan Siewert but so far Huddersfield have yet to show anything other than capitulation under him, losing all of their fixtures and looking all but mathematically relegated at this stage. Newcastle have a number of options available, but with Lejeune becoming fully fit again it is safer to choose someone like Dubravka or Yedlin as their positions are more secure in the backline. If you are going to consider a Newcastle asset over the coming weeks a lot of people have suggested Fabian Schar. He has looked offensively talented, but with 8 yellow cards already accumulated he will receive a 2 game ban if he manages to get to 10.

DON’TS

Southampton face a tough task of playing Arsenal away from home in gameweek 27. The Saints have improved massively under Ralph Hassenhuttl, but still look like conceding in most matches. Under Hassenhuttl they have conceded 15 goals in 11 games in the league. When you consider they have played Arsenal, City and Chelsea during that time period conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game doesn’t look half bad. Their issue though has been clean sheets, during those 11 games the Saints have only kept 1 clean sheet. Against Chelsea. Whilst Bednarek and Valery may look like good options, they are unlikely to get you many points in FPL. They are also unlikely to concede more than once. In their reverse fixture Arsenal conceded 3 times, but scored twice. With Aubameyang back, Lacazette scoring last gameweek and Arsenal in dire need of 3 points you could expect to see goals from the home side here.

FPL option Jan Bednarek
FPL option Jan Bednarek

Fulham are pretty awful defensively, but you know that. The London side have conceded 10 goals more than any other side in 26 matches and have averaged 2.23 goals conceded per game. The statistics look even bleaker when you look away from home. Fulham have conceded a whopping 32 goals away from home, 2 more than Bournemouth who have surprisingly conceded 30 away from home. The Cottagers have conceded 2.46 goals away from home, Felipe Anderson and Marko Arnautovic will surely get amongst the goals against a pretty dire Fulham side. I’d wager there will be plenty of goals in this tie. Most of them coming against Fulham. If you don’t have Arnie or Felipe Anderson in your FPL side this gameweek I’d worry for your overall ranking.

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Paddy Keogh-Goode

I'm an avid fan of football and a season ticket holder for Bohemian FC in Ireland. I've supported Man United as long as I've known football, and tried to play until I was unable to. I used to work as a trader and have always had an interest in gambling. This website combines the two interests and hopefully helps a few others in making better decisions

Paddy Keogh-Goode

Paddy Keogh-Goode

I'm an avid fan of football and a season ticket holder for Bohemian FC in Ireland. I've supported Man United as long as I've known football, and tried to play until I was unable to. I used to work as a trader and have always had an interest in gambling. This website combines the two interests and hopefully helps a few others in making better decisions

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